Size and timescale of epidemics in the SIR framework
From MaRDI portal
Publication:2127393
Abstract: The most important features to assess the severity of an epidemic are its size and its timescale. We discuss these features in a systematic way in the context of SIR and SIR-type models. We investigate in detail how the size and timescale of the epidemic can be changed by acting on the parameters characterizing the model. Using these results and having as guideline the COVID-19 epidemic in Italy, we compare the efficiency of different containment strategies for contrasting an epidemic diffusion such as social distancing, lockdown, tracing, early detection and isolation.
Recommendations
- Epidemic Size in the SIS Model of Endemic Infections
- The size of epidemics in populations with heterogeneous susceptibility
- A scaling analysis in the SIRI epidemiological model
- The effect of patterns of infectiousness on epidemic size
- SIR epidemic models with general infectious period distribution
- scientific article; zbMATH DE number 4121817
- scientific article; zbMATH DE number 4118212
- SIR epidemics with stochastic infectious periods
- scientific article; zbMATH DE number 6771066
Cites work
- Accurate closed-form solution of the SIR epidemic model
- Contributions to the mathematical theory of epidemics. III.—Further studies of the problem of endemicity
- Exact analytical solutions of the susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR) epidemic model and of the SIR model with equal death and birth rates
- How to reduce epidemic peaks keeping under control the time-span of the epidemic
- scientific article; zbMATH DE number 2166309 (Why is no real title available?)
- scientific article; zbMATH DE number 1915402 (Why is no real title available?)
- Immuno-epidemiological model of two-stage epidemic growth
- Mathematical biology. Vol. 1: An introduction.
- On the Summation of Divergent, Truncated, and Underspecified Power Series via Asymptotic Approximants
- The mathematics of infectious diseases
Cited in
(29)- Recruitment effects on the evolution of epidemics in a simple SIR model
- Explicit formulae for the peak time of an epidemic from the SIR model
- Epidemic models with discrete state structures
- Trends in COVID-19 prevalence and mortality: a year in review
- Explicit formulae for the peak time of an epidemic from the SIR model. Which approximant to use?
- The role of geographical spreaders in infectious pattern formation and front propagation speeds
- Modeling of COVID-19 propagation with compartment models
- How to reduce epidemic peaks keeping under control the time-span of the epidemic
- Mathematical modeling of the propagation of COVID-19 pandemic waves in the world
- A simple SIR model with a large set of asymptomatic infectives
- Confinement strategies in a simple SIR model
- Two critical times for the SIR model
- Dynamics of partially mitigated multi-phasic epidemics at low susceptible depletion: phases of COVID-19 control in Italy as case study
- Effects of latency and age structure on the dynamics and containment of COVID-19
- Comparing the dynamics of COVID-19 infection and mortality in the United States, India, and Brazil
- Synchronization in epidemic growth and the impossibility of selective containment
- Mathematical modeling and analysis of Covid-19 infection spreads in India with restricted optimal treatment on disease incidence
- A statistical theory of the strength of epidemics: an application to the Italian COVID-19 case
- Analytical solution of the SIR-model for the temporal evolution of epidemics. Part A: time-independent reproduction factor
- A highly accurate peak time formula of epidemic outbreak from the SIR model
- Final epidemic size and critical times for susceptible-infectious-recovered models with a generalized contact rate
- On exact integrability of a Covid-19 model: SIRV
- Integrability properties and invariant solutions of some biological models
- Final and peak epidemic sizes of immuno-epidemiological SIR models
- Poisson structures and dynamics of SIR models
- Mapping incidence and prevalence peak data for SIR modeling applications
- Final size of an SIR epidemic in heterogeneous networks through local and global propagations
- Theoretical analysis of a SIRD model with constant amount of alive population and COVID-19 applications
- The final size and critical times of an SIVR epidemic model
This page was built for publication: Size and timescale of epidemics in the SIR framework
Report a bug (only for logged in users!)Click here to report a bug for this page (MaRDI item Q2127393)
