Social distancing versus early detection and contacts tracing in epidemic management
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Publication:2123574
Abstract: Different countries -- and sometimes different regions within the same countries -- have adopted different strategies in trying to contain the ongoing COVID-19 epidemic; these mix in variable parts social confinement, early detection and contact tracing. In this paper we discuss the different effects of these ingredients on the epidemic dynamics; the discussion is conducted with the help of two simple models, i.e. the classical SIR model and the recently introduced variant (A-SIR, arXiv:2003.08720) which takes into account the presence of a large set of asymptomatic infectives.
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Cited in
(7)- Modeling the impacts of contact tracing on an epidemic with asymptomatic infection
- A simple SIR model with a large set of asymptomatic infectives
- Confinement strategies in a simple SIR model
- Contact tracing and antiviral prophylaxis in the early stages of a pandemic: the probability of a major outbreak
- Synchronization in epidemic growth and the impossibility of selective containment
- Production optimization in the time of pandemic: an SIS-based optimal control model with protection effort and cost minimization
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