The elephant random walk with gradually increasing memory

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Publication:2170249



Abstract: In the simple random walk the steps are independent, viz., the walker has no memory. In contrast, in the Elephant random walk(ERW), which was introduced by Schuetz and Trimper in 2004, the next step always depends on the whole path so far. Various authors have studied further properties of the ERW. In an earlier paper we studied the case when the Elephant remembers only a finite part of the first or last steps. In both cases there was no separation into two different regimes as in the classical ERW. We also posed the question about what happens if she remembers a gradually increasing past. This paper will give some answers to that question. We also discuss related questions for ERW:s with delays.


The elephant random walk is given by \(S_n=X_1+\cdots+X_n\), where \(X_1=1\) with probability \(p\) and \(X_1=-1\) with probability \(1-p\). Subsequent steps are then chosen such that, for \(n\geq0\), \(X_{n+1}=X_K\) with probability \(p\) and \(X_{n+1}=-X_K\) with probability \(1-p\), where \(K\) is uniformly distributed over some subset \(\mathfrak{M}\) of \(\{1,2,\dots,n\}\). In the present paper, the authors mainly study the case where \(\mathfrak{M}=\{1,2,\dots,m_n\}\), where \(m_n\to\infty\) as \(n\to\infty\) in such a way that \(m_n/n\to0\). The authors establish asymptotics of the mean and variance of \(S_n\), and limit theorems for (suitably scaled versions of) \(S_n\). These asymptotics and limiting distributions depend on how \(p\) compares to the transitional value \(p=3/4\). Asymptotics for moments and limit theorems are also derived for the case where the random walk has some positive probability of not moving at each step, and for the case where \(\mathfrak{M}=\{1,2,\dots,m_n,n\}\), i.e., the random walk also remembers the most recent step. Finally, asymptotics of the first two moments are also given for the case where \(m_n/n\to\alpha\in(0,1]\) as \(n\to\infty\). The question of limit theorems in this case is left open; in the previous cases the proofs of the limit theorems relied on certain conditional variances vanishing asymptotically, a property which no longer holds in this case.




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