Combining probabilistic forecasts of COVID-19 mortality in the United States

DOI10.1016/J.EJOR.2021.06.044MaRDI QIDQ2171533zbMATH OpenOpenAlexFDO

Authors James W. Taylor, Kathryn S. Taylor

Publication date 9 September 2022

Published in European Journal of Operational Research (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL https://arxiv.org/abs/2007.11103

zbMATH Keywords

COVID-19distributional forecastsforecast combininginterval forecastsOR in health services

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Operations research and management science (90Bxx)

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Cites work

• A Decision-Theoretic Approach to Interval Estimation
• Coherent combination of experts' opinions. (With discussion)
• Combining interval forecasts
• Combining Probability Forecasts
• Combining regression quantile estimators
• Comparing density forecasts using threshold- and quantile-weighted scoring rules
• Elicitability and backtesting: perspectives for banking regulation
• Forecasting and planning during a pandemic: COVID-19 growth rates, supply chain disruptions, and governmental decisions
• Goodness of Fit and Related Inference Processes for Quantile Regression
• Median aggregation of distribution functions
• Probabilistic Forecasts, Calibration and Sharpness
• Scoring interval forecasts: equal-tailed, shortest, and modal interval
• Strictly Proper Scoring Rules, Prediction, and Estimation
• The Opinion Pool

Cited in

(5)

• Introduction to the special issue on the role of operational research in future epidemics/ pandemics
• Predicting the outbreak of epidemics using a network-based approach
• Fifty years of decision analysis in operational research: a review
• Probabilistic forecast aggregation with statistical depth
• Combining density forecast accuracy tests: an application to agricultural, energy, and metal commodities

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