Coherent combination of experts' opinions. (With discussion)
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Publication:1914741
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Cites work
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- A Bayesian view of assessing uncertainty and comparing expert opinion
- A Multiplicative Formula for Aggregating Probability Assessments
- A characterization theorem for externally Bayesian groups
- Bayesian analysis with limited communication
- Characterization of externally Bayesian pooling operators
- Combining Probability Distributions from Dependent Information Sources
- Combining probability distributions: A critique and an annotated bibliography
- Consensus of opinion
- Existence of probability measures with given marginals
- Funktionen auf Produkträumen mit vorgegebenen Marginal-Funktionen
- Marginalization and Linear Opinion Pools
- Modeling expert judgements for Bayesian updating
- Optimal Linear Opinion Pools
- Reaching a Consensus
- The Existence of Probability Measures with Given Marginals
- The Improvement of Probability Judgements
- The Opinion Pool
- The Well-Calibrated Bayesian
- Updating of Belief in the Light of Someone Else's Opinion
Cited in
(37)- scientific article; zbMATH DE number 3978224 (Why is no real title available?)
- Resolving some contradictions in the theory of linear opinion pools.
- Dynamic Bayesian predictive synthesis in time series forecasting
- A combinatorial proof of the Burdzy-Pitman conjecture
- Aggregating expert judgement
- A population's feasible posterior beliefs
- Contradictory predictions with multiple agents
- Aggregation of multiple prior opinions
- Learning from others: conditioning versus averaging
- Fiducial inference in combining expert judgements
- SUPPORT FOR GEOMETRIC POOLING
- Aggregating predictions from experts: a review of statistical methods, experiments, and applications
- On the pragmatic and epistemic virtues of inference to the best explanation
- Combining probability distributions: A critique and an annotated bibliography
- A Bayesian justification for the linear pooling of opinions
- Further evidence against independence preservation in expert judgement synthesis
- Regularized Aggregation of One-Off Probability Predictions
- Combining experts' causal judgments
- On the existence of extreme coherent distributions with no atoms
- Correlated choice
- Combining expert probabilities using the product of odds
- scientific article; zbMATH DE number 3909602 (Why is no real title available?)
- Coherent distributions on the square-extreme points and asymptotics
- Combining probabilistic forecasts of COVID-19 mortality in the United States
- Combining predictive distributions
- The maximal difference among expert's opinions
- Can coherent predictions be contradictory?
- Calibration, sharpness and the weighting of experts in a linear opinion pool
- Aggregation of misspecified experts
- Bounds on the probability of radically different opinions
- Extremizing and Antiextremizing in Bayesian Ensembles of Binary-Event Forecasts
- Aggregating disparate estimates of chance
- Multivariate Bayesian predictive synthesis in macroeconomic forecasting
- Combining probability distributions: a critique and an annotated bibliography. With comments, and a rejoinder by the authors
- Optimal square-root pooling from expert opinions
- On individual risk
- scientific article; zbMATH DE number 4174106 (Why is no real title available?)
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