Aggregating disparate estimates of chance

DOI10.1016/J.GEB.2006.04.001MaRDI QIDQ2466865zbMATH OpenOpenAlexFDO

Authors Moshe Y. Vardi, Daniel N. Osherson

Publication date 16 January 2008

Published in Games and Economic Behavior (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL https://doi.org/10.1016/j.geb.2006.04.001

zbMATH Keywords

aggregationcoherenceforecastingprobability

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Statistical decision theory (62C99) Applications of statistics (62P99) Management decision making, including multiple objectives (90B50)

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Cited in

(26)

• Combining probability distributions: a critique and an annotated bibliography. With comments, and a rejoinder by the authors
• The aggregation of imprecise probabilities
• Probabilistic opinion pooling generalized. I: General agendas
• Coherent combination of experts' opinions. (With discussion)
• Aggregating incoherent agents who disagree
• Bayesian decision support for complex systems with many distributed experts
• Extracting the collective wisdom in probabilistic judgments
• A foundational approach to generalising the maximum entropy inference process to the multi-agent context
• Aggregation of Probability Judgments
• scientific article; zbMATH DE number 4100372 (Why is no real title available?)
• Probability aggregation in time-series: dynamic hierarchical modeling of sparse expert beliefs
• A probabilistic interpretation of the medical expert system CADIAG-2
• Aggregating large sets of probabilistic forecasts by weighted coherent adjustment
• Two reasons to make aggregated probability forecasts more extreme
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• Can coherent predictions be contradictory?
• Measuring the overall incoherence of credence functions
• A note on how Rényi entropy can create a spectrum of probabilistic merging operators.
• Copula-opinion pooling with complex opinions
• The irrelevant information principle for collective probabilistic reasoning
• Understanding pooled subjective probability estimates
• Aggregating inconclusive data sets
• Aggregating agents with opinions about different propositions
• Strategy-proof aggregation of approximate and imprecise judgments
• Aggregating subjective probabilities: Some limitative theorems
• Introduction to judgment aggregation

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Uses Software

• Genocop

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