The Well-Calibrated Bayesian

Foundations and philosophical topics in statistics (62A01) Bayesian problems; characterization of Bayes procedures (62C10) Axioms; other general questions in probability (60A05)

Cited in

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Randomness and imprecision: from supermartingales to randomness tests
An easier way to calibrate.
Targeted malleability: homomorphic encryption for restricted computations
Closed-Form Power and Sample Size Calculations for Bayes Factors
A unifying theory of distance from calibration
A nonmanipulable test
Bounds on locally testable codes with unique tests
Approachability, regret and calibration: implications and equivalences
Economic Darwinism: Who has the best probabilities?
Source-free domain adaptation requires penalized diversity
Bounded rationality and search over small-world models
Safe probability
The philosophy of Bayes factors and the quantification of statistical evidence
Stopping rules and the likelihood function
Value-at-risk forecasts under scrutiny—the German experience
Forecasting Performance of an Open Economy DSGE Model
Evaluating probability forecasts
Statistical Decision Problems and Bayesian Nonparametric Methods
The value of a probability forecast from portfolio theory
Approximately optimal mechanism design via differential privacy
New theory about old evidence. A framework for open-minded Bayesianism
On beating the hybrid argument
Calibrated forecasting and merging
Resiliency, robustness and rationality of probability judgements
On the interpretation of ensemble classifiers in terms of Bayes classifiers
Stacking models of growth: a methodology for predicting the pace of progress to the education sustainable development targets using international large-scale assessments
Interpreting \(p\)-values and confidence intervals using well-calibrated null preference priors
Mechanism design with approximate valuations
A conversation with Eugenio Regazzini
A score regression approach to assess calibration of continuous probabilistic predictions
Compressed matrix multiplication
Calibrating the prior distribution for a normal model with conjugate prior
Linear programming, width-1 CSPs, and robust satisfaction
Gadgets and anti-gadgets leading to a complexity dichotomy
The curse of simultaneity
An axiomatic characterization of wagering mechanisms
On comparison of experts
Coherent combination of experts' opinions. (With discussion)
Boldness-Recalibration for Binary Event Predictions
Some aspects of probability forecasting
High-confidence predictions under adversarial uncertainty
Calibration and Bayesian learning.
Indistinguishable predictions and multi-group fair learning
Stable Discovery of Interpretable Subgroups via Calibration in Causal Studies
Failure of calibration is typical
Price probabilities: a class of Bayesian and non-Bayesian prediction rules
Model averaging for robust extrapolation in evidence synthesis
scientific article; zbMATH DE number 7626747 (Why is no real title available?)
Quantum money from knots
Evidential time-to-event prediction with calibrated uncertainty quantification
On the degree of univariate polynomials over the integers
Consistency and cautious fictitious play
Bayesian parametric inference in a nonparametric framework
Imprecision in martingale- and test-theoretic prequential randomness
(Leveled) fully homomorphic encryption without bootstrapping
Limit theorems for a class of identically distributed random variables.
Accounting for survey design in Bayesian disaggregation of survey-based areal estimates of proportions: an application to the American Community Survey
On Sequences with Non-learnable Subsequences
Quantum strategic game theory
Objective Bayesianism with predicate languages
Scoring rules and the evaluation of probabilities. (With discussion)
On the truth-convergence of open-minded Bayesianism
Logic with numbers
Belief-based equilibrium
Smooth calibration, leaky forecasts, finite recall, and Nash dynamics
Bayesian orgulity
Belief affirming in learning processes
Calibrated learning and correlated equilibrium
Fairness through awareness
On Calibration Error of Randomized Forecasting Algorithms
Fiducial inference in combining expert judgements
Probabilistic preference learning with the Mallows rank model
Beyond incompatibility: trade-offs between mutually exclusive fairness criteria in machine learning and law
A two-step Bayesian approach for propensity score analysis: simulations and case study
Deterministic calibration and Nash equilibrium
Bayesian Nonparametric Calibration and Combination of Predictive Distributions
Spectral sparsification via random spanners
A conversation with A. Philip Dawid
A cheat sheet for Bayesian prediction
On the quantification of model uncertainty: a Bayesian perspective
Calibration and refinement for classification trees
Calibrated Bayes, for statistics in general, and missing data in particular
Discussion of ``Calibrated Bayes, for statistics in general, and missing data in particular by R. Little
On persistent homotopy, knotted complexes and the Alexander module
“Calibeating”: Beating forecasters at their own game
Marginal hitting sets imply super-polynomial lower bounds for permanent
Super-polynomial quantum speed-ups for Boolean evaluation trees with hidden structure
Bayesian dynamic borrowing of historical information with applications to the analysis of large-scale assessments
Mostly calibrated
A frequentist local false discovery rate
Approximately calibrated small sample inference about means from bivariate normal data with missing values
Crowdsourced Bayesian auctions
Online prediction for streaming observational data
From extractable collision resistance to succinct non-interactive arguments of knowledge, and back again
Practical verified computation with streaming interactive proofs
Quantum interactive proofs with weak error bounds
Distribution free evolvability of polynomial functions over all convex loss functions
No justified complaints: on fair sharing of multiple resources
Bayesian aggregation of two forecasts in the partial information framework
Paging for multi-core shared caches

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