The Well-Calibrated Bayesian
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(only showing first 100 items - show all)- On calibration error of randomized forecasting algorithms
- A nonmanipulable test
- Non-stochastic infinite and finite sequences
- Calibration and refinement for classification trees
- Bounded rationality and search over small-world models
- Belief affirming in learning processes
- Stopping rules and the likelihood function
- Calibrated learning and correlated equilibrium
- A uniform limit theorem for predictive distributions
- Safe probability
- Smooth calibration, leaky forecasts, finite recall, and Nash dynamics
- Probability, causality and the empirical world: a Bayes-de Finetti-Popper-Borel synthesis
- Conditional universal consistency.
- An easier way to calibrate.
- Calibrated forecasting and merging
- Calibration and Bayesian learning.
- Limit theorems for a class of identically distributed random variables.
- Belief-based equilibrium
- Coherent combination of experts' opinions. (With discussion)
- Scoring rules and the evaluation of probabilities. (With discussion)
- Price probabilities: a class of Bayesian and non-Bayesian prediction rules
- Randomness is inherently imprecise
- Accounting for survey design in Bayesian disaggregation of survey-based areal estimates of proportions: an application to the American Community Survey
- Interpreting \(p\)-values and confidence intervals using well-calibrated null preference priors
- An axiomatic characterization of wagering mechanisms
- Mostly calibrated
- On comparison of experts
- On the interpretation of ensemble classifiers in terms of Bayes classifiers
- Economic Darwinism: Who has the best probabilities?
- Bayesian parametric inference in a nonparametric framework
- The value of a probability forecast from portfolio theory
- General representation of epistemically optimal procedures
- Failure of calibration is typical
- Approachability, regret and calibration: implications and equivalences
- Logic with numbers
- Deterministic calibration and Nash equilibrium
- Resiliency, robustness and rationality of probability judgements
- Learning hurdles for sleeping experts
- Restriction access
- Mechanism design with approximate valuations
- Quantum strategic game theory
- The curse of simultaneity
- No justified complaints: on fair sharing of multiple resources
- From randomizing polynomials to parallel algorithms
- Practical verified computation with streaming interactive proofs
- Paging for multi-core shared caches
- Noise vs computational intractability in dynamics
- Distribution free evolvability of polynomial functions over all convex loss functions
- Algorithms on evolving graphs
- Towards deterministic tree code constructions
- Linear time decoding of regular expander codes
- List decoding subspace codes from insertions and deletions
- Bounds on locally testable codes with unique tests
- Approximately optimal mechanism design via differential privacy
- Fairness through awareness
- Dynamics of prisoner's dilemma and the evolution of cooperation on networks
- Crowdsourced Bayesian auctions
- Super-polynomial quantum speed-ups for Boolean evaluation trees with hidden structure
- Quantum interactive proofs with weak error bounds
- Quantum money from knots
- (Leveled) fully homomorphic encryption without bootstrapping
- From extractable collision resistance to succinct non-interactive arguments of knowledge, and back again
- Targeted malleability: homomorphic encryption for restricted computations
- Sherali-Adams relaxations and indistinguishability in counting logics
- Graph densification
- Spectral sparsification via random spanners
- On persistent homotopy, knotted complexes and the Alexander module
- Gadgets and anti-gadgets leading to a complexity dichotomy
- On beating the hybrid argument
- Linear programming, width-1 CSPs, and robust satisfaction
- Marginal hitting sets imply super-polynomial lower bounds for permanent
- The philosophy of Bayes factors and the quantification of statistical evidence
- A score regression approach to assess calibration of continuous probabilistic predictions
- Some aspects of probability forecasting
- Bayesian aggregation of two forecasts in the partial information framework
- Statistical Decision Problems and Bayesian Nonparametric Methods
- On Sequences with Non-learnable Subsequences
- On Calibration Error of Randomized Forecasting Algorithms
- Exact tests for equality of two proportions: fisher v. bayes
- A two-step Bayesian approach for propensity score analysis: simulations and case study
- Calibrated Bayes, for statistics in general, and missing data in particular
- Discussion of ``Calibrated Bayes, for statistics in general, and missing data in particular by R. Little
- Probabilistic preference learning with the Mallows rank model
- What to do with a forecast?
- Bayesian Nonparametric Calibration and Combination of Predictive Distributions
- Bayesian Inference Is Unaffected by Selection: Fact or Fiction?
- scientific article; zbMATH DE number 7626715 (Why is no real title available?)
- scientific article; zbMATH DE number 7626747 (Why is no real title available?)
- On the truth-convergence of open-minded Bayesianism
- New theory about old evidence. A framework for open-minded Bayesianism
- Calibrating the prior distribution for a normal model with conjugate prior
- Evaluating DSGE model forecasts of comovements
- Forecasting Performance of an Open Economy DSGE Model
- Probabilistic Forecasts, Calibration and Sharpness
- Value-at-risk forecasts under scrutiny—the German experience
- The Need for More Emphasis on Prediction: A “Nondenominational” Model-Based Approach
- High-confidence predictions under adversarial uncertainty
- On the degree of univariate polynomials over the integers
- Compressed matrix multiplication
- A conversation with Eugenio Regazzini
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