Posterior contraction and credible sets for filaments of regression functions

DOI10.1214/20-EJS1705zbMATH Open1439.62104arXiv1803.03898MaRDI QIDQ2180076FDOQ2180076

Authors: Yanyan Li 

Publication date: 13 May 2020

Published in: Electronic Journal of Statistics (Search for Journal in Brave)

Abstract: A filament consists of local maximizers of a smooth function $f$ when moving in a certain direction. A filamentary structure is an important feature of the shape of an object and is also considered as an important lower dimensional characterization of multivariate data. There have been some recent theoretical studies of filaments in the nonparametric kernel density estimation context. This paper supplements the current literature in two ways. First, we provide a Bayesian approach to the filament estimation in regression context and study the posterior contraction rates using a finite random series of B-splines basis. Compared with the kernel-estimation method, this has a theoretical advantage as the bias can be better controlled when the function is smoother, which allows obtaining better rates. Assuming that $f:mathbb{R}^{2}mapstomathbbR$ belongs to an isotropic H"{o}lder class of order $alphageq4$, with the optimal choice of smoothing parameters, the posterior contraction rates for the filament points on some appropriately defined integral curves and for the Hausdorff distance of the filament are both $(n/logn{)}^{(2-alpha)/(2(1+alpha))}$. Secondly, we provide a way to construct a credible set with sufficient frequentist coverage for the filaments. We demonstrate the success of our proposed method in simulations and one application to earthquake data.

Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/1803.03898

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zbMATH Keywords

nonparametric regressionB-splinesposterior contractionfilamentcoveragecredibility

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Nonparametric regression and quantile regression (62G08) Asymptotic properties of nonparametric inference (62G20) Nonparametric tolerance and confidence regions (62G15) Numerical computation using splines (65D07) Applications of statistics to physics (62P35) Seismology (including tsunami modeling), earthquakes (86A15)

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Cited In (7)

• Title not available (Why is that?)
• The geometry of nonparametric filament estimation
• Asymptotic confidence regions for density ridges
• Posterior contraction and credible regions for level sets
• Bayesian consistency with the supremum metric
• On the path density of a gradient field
• Theoretical analysis of nonparametric filament estimation

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