Rates of contraction for posterior distributions in L^r-metrics, 1 r

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Publication:449972

DOI10.1214/11-AOS924zbMATH Open1246.62095arXiv1203.2043MaRDI QIDQ449972FDOQ449972

Evarist Giné, Richard Nickl

Publication date: 3 September 2012

Published in: The Annals of Statistics (Search for Journal in Brave)

Abstract: The frequentist behavior of nonparametric Bayes estimates, more specifically, rates of contraction of the posterior distributions to shrinking Lr-norm neighborhoods, 1lerleinfty, of the unknown parameter, are studied. A theorem for nonparametric density estimation is proved under general approximation-theoretic assumptions on the prior. The result is applied to a variety of common examples, including Gaussian process, wavelet series, normal mixture and histogram priors. The rates of contraction are minimax-optimal for 1lerle2, but deteriorate as r increases beyond 2. In the case of Gaussian nonparametric regression a Gaussian prior is devised for which the posterior contracts at the optimal rate in all Lr-norms, 1lerleinfty.


Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/1203.2043




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