An evidential Markov decision making model
From MaRDI portal
Publication:2200593
Abstract: The sure thing principle and the law of total probability are basic laws in classic probability theory. A disjunction fallacy leads to the violation of these two classical laws. In this paper, an Evidential Markov (EM) decision making model based on Dempster-Shafer (D-S) evidence theory and Markov modelling is proposed to address this issue and model the real human decision-making process. In an evidential framework, the states are extended by introducing an uncertain state which represents the hesitance of a decision maker. The classical Markov model can not produce the disjunction effect, which assumes that a decision has to be certain at one time. However, the state is allowed to be uncertain in the EM model before the final decision is made. An extra uncertainty degree parameter is defined by a belief entropy, named Deng entropy, to assignment the basic probability assignment of the uncertain state, which is the key to predict the disjunction effect. A classical categorization decision-making experiment is used to illustrate the effectiveness and validity of EM model. The disjunction effect can be well predicted and the free parameters are less compared with the existing models.
Recommendations
- Evidential Markov decision processes
- On Evidential Markov Chains
- scientific article; zbMATH DE number 794375
- An Evidential Measure of Risk in Evidential Markov Chains
- Decission Markov logic
- Evidential decision theory
- scientific article; zbMATH DE number 4041559
- Markov Decision Models with Weighted Discounted Criteria
- scientific article; zbMATH DE number 3128787
- Markov decision processes in the modelling of rational agents
Cites work
- A group evidential reasoning approach based on expert reliability
- A modified \textit{Physarum}-inspired model for the user equilibrium traffic assignment problem
- A NOTE ON MEASURES OF SPECIFICITY FOR FUZZY SETS
- A preference degree for intuitionistic fuzzy values and application to multi-attribute group decision making
- A quantum-like model of selection behavior
- Attribute reduction in ordered decision tables via evidence theory
- Choquet based TOPSIS and TODIM for dynamic and heterogeneous decision making with criteria interaction
- Dempster-Shafer fusion of evidential pairwise Markov fields
- Deng entropy
- Empirical comparison of Markov and quantum models of decision making
- ENTROPY AND SPECIFICITY IN A MATHEMATICAL THEORY OF EVIDENCE
- Fuzzy sets
- scientific article; zbMATH DE number 3877070 (Why is no real title available?)
- scientific article; zbMATH DE number 3434895 (Why is no real title available?)
- scientific article; zbMATH DE number 3255204 (Why is no real title available?)
- On Evidential Markov Chains
- QUANTIFICATION OF CONFLICT IN DEMPSTER-SHAFER FRAMEWORK: A NEW APPROACH
- Quantum cognition: the possibility of processing with nuclear spins in the brain
- Quantum decision theory as quantum theory of measurement
- Quantum dynamics of human decision-making
- Quantum-like representation algorithm for trichotomous observables
- The transferable belief model
- Two-player conflicting interest Bayesian games and Bell nonlocality
- UNCERTAINTY IN THE DEMPSTER-SHAFER THEORY: A CRITICAL RE-EXAMINATION
- Upper and Lower Probabilities Induced by a Multivalued Mapping
Cited in
(26)- D number theory based game-theoretic framework in adversarial decision making under a fuzzy environment
- Information dimension based on \textit{Deng} entropy
- A new distance measure of interval-valued intuitionistic fuzzy sets and its application in decision making
- Identifying influential nodes based on fuzzy local dimension in complex networks
- Multi-attribute decision making method based on aggregated neutrosophic set
- Support of decision-making under uncertainty on the basis of the non-Markov model
- A new divergence measure for belief functions in D-S evidence theory for multisensor data fusion
- On the negation of discrete Z-numbers
- On Evidential Markov Chains
- An Evidential Measure of Risk in Evidential Markov Chains
- Emergency alternative evaluation under group decision makers: a new method based on entropy weight and DEMATEL
- Tsallis eXtropy
- Dynamical Markov decision-making model based on mass function to quantitatively predict interference effects
- Evidence integration credal classification algorithm versus missing data distributions
- Evidential Markov decision-making model based on belief entropy to predict interference effects
- An improved belief structure satisfaction to uncertain target values by considering the overlapping degree between events
- Classifying vaguely labeled data based on evidential fusion
- Dynamic centrality measure for bunch nodes in quantum graph: perspective on brain network
- Sustainable solar energy management driven by Pythagorean linguistic information under quantum group decision-making procedures and the CoCoSo approach
- Pythagorean linguistic quantum scenario-based group decision-making methodology integrating the LogTODIM-TOPSIS approach and its application to navigating investment decisions amidst uncertainty for growth
- Pythagorean linguistic information-based Green supplier using quantum-based group decision-making methodology and the MULTIMOORA approach
- An innovative method utilizing an extended ORESTE-based Pythagorean linguistic multicriteria quantum group decision-making approach for selecting cell phones
- The multicriteria quantum decision theory-based group decision-making integrating TODIM-PROMETHEE II approach under linguistic Z number information with application to selection of renewable energy
- The selection of wearable health technology devices is based on the Pythagorean linguistic multi-attribute group quantum decision theory technique integrating the TODIM-VIKOR methodology
- Pythagorean linguistic information-based eco-friendly building materials selection made from recycled plastic using quantum-based group decision-making methods and the MARCOS technique
- Quantum decision scenario-based MAGDM integrating TOPSIS under linguistic information
This page was built for publication: An evidential Markov decision making model
Report a bug (only for logged in users!)Click here to report a bug for this page (MaRDI item Q2200593)
