Panel forecasts of country-level Covid-19 infections

DOI10.1016/J.JECONOM.2020.08.010MaRDI QIDQ2224896zbMATH OpenOpenAlexWikidataFDO

Authors Laura Liu, Hyungsik Roger Moon, Frank Schorfheide

Publication date 4 February 2021

Published in Journal of Econometrics (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL http://www.nber.org/papers/w27248.pdf

zbMATH Keywords

Bayesian inferenceCovid-19density forecastsinterval forecastspanel data modelsrandom effectsSIR model

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Inference from stochastic processes and prediction (62M20) Applications of statistics to biology and medical sciences; meta analysis (62P10) Mathematical modeling or simulation for problems pertaining to biology (92-10)

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Cites work

• Forecasting With Dynamic Panel Data Models
• scientific article; zbMATH DE number 47853 (Why is no real title available?)
• Nonparametric empirical Bayes and compound decision approaches to estimation of a high-dimensional vector of normal means
• On the comparison of interval forecasts
• The challenges of modeling and forecasting the spread of COVID-19
• The Probability Approach in Econometrics

Cited in

(10)

• How to go viral: a COVID-19 model with endogenously time-varying parameters
• Estimating and simulating a SIRD model of COVID-19 for many countries, states, and cities
• When will the Covid-19 pandemic peak?
• Nowcasting the COVID‐19 pandemic in Bavaria
• A Dynamic Interaction Semiparametric Function-on-Scalar Model
• The spread of COVID-19 in London: network effects and optimal lockdowns
• Probabilistic Forecast Reconciliation under the Gaussian Framework
• Bridging the Covid-19 data and the epidemiological model using the time-varying parameter SIRD model
• Nonparametric empirical Bayes prediction in mixed models
• Susceptible-infected-recovered model with stochastic transmission

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