A machine learning model for nowcasting epidemic incidence

DOI10.1016/J.MBS.2021.108677MaRDI QIDQ2118464zbMATH OpenOpenAlexFDO

Authors Saumya Yashmohini Sahai, Saket Gurukar, Wasiur R. KhudaBukhsh, Srinivasan Parthasarathy, Grzegorz A. Rempala

Publication date 22 March 2022

Published in Mathematical Biosciences (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL https://doi.org/10.1016/j.mbs.2021.108677

zbMATH Keywords

random forestnowcastingCOVID-19 incidencebackfilling

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Epidemiology (92D30) Mathematical modeling or simulation for problems pertaining to biology (92-10) Computational methods for problems pertaining to biology (92-08)

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Cites work

• Adjustments for Reporting Delays and the Prediction of Occurred but Not Reported Events
• Inferring causal impact using Bayesian structural time-series models
• Multivariate hierarchical frameworks for modeling delayed reporting in count data
• Random forests

Cited in

(6)

• Randomized machine learning of nonlinear models with application to forecasting the development of an epidemic process
• Projecting COVID-19 cases and hospital burden in Ohio
• Panel forecasts of country-level Covid-19 infections
• A hypothesis-free bridging of disease dynamics and non-pharmaceutical policies
• Incidence moments: a simple method to study the memory and short term forecast of the COVID-19 incidence time-series
• Correcting notification delay and forecasting of COVID-19 data

Describes a project that uses

Uses Software

• CausalImpact

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