A machine learning model for nowcasting epidemic incidence

DOI10.1016/J.MBS.2021.108677zbMATH Open1482.92011OpenAlexW3215014065MaRDI QIDQ2118464FDOQ2118464

Authors: Saumya Yashmohini Sahai, Saket Gurukar, Wasiur R. KhudaBukhsh, Srinivasan Parthasarathy, Grzegorz A. Rempala 

Publication date: 22 March 2022

Published in: Mathematical Biosciences (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.mbs.2021.108677

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zbMATH Keywords

random forestnowcastingCOVID-19 incidencebackfilling

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Epidemiology (92D30) Mathematical modeling or simulation for problems pertaining to biology (92-10) Computational methods for problems pertaining to biology (92-08)

Cites Work

• Inferring causal impact using Bayesian structural time-series models
• Random forests
• Adjustments for Reporting Delays and the Prediction of Occurred but Not Reported Events
• Multivariate hierarchical frameworks for modeling delayed reporting in count data

Cited In (3)

• Randomized machine learning of nonlinear models with application to forecasting the development of an epidemic process
• Projecting COVID-19 cases and hospital burden in Ohio
• Panel forecasts of country-level Covid-19 infections

Uses Software

• CausalImpact

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