Modelling COVID-19 dynamics and potential for herd immunity by vaccination in Austria, Luxembourg and Sweden

DOI10.1016/J.JTBI.2021.110874MaRDI QIDQ2235525zbMATH OpenOpenAlexFDO

Authors Françoise Kemp, Daniele Proverbio, Atte Aalto, Laurent Mombaerts, Aymeric Fouquier d'Hérouël, Andreas Husch, Christophe Ley, Alexander Skupin, Stefano Magni, Jorge Goncalves

Publication date 21 October 2021

Published in Journal of Theoretical Biology (Search for Journal in Brave)

Copyright license Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International

Full work available at URL https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jtbi.2021.110874

zbMATH Keywords

Markov chain Monte CarloBayesian inferenceSEIR modelcross-country comparisonhealthcare system

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Medical epidemiology (92C60)

Recommendations

• Effect of vaccination to COVID-19 disease progression and herd immunity
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• Network models to evaluate vaccine strategies towards herd immunity in COVID-19
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Cites work

• A mathematical model reveals the influence of population heterogeneity on herd immunity to SARS-CoV-2
• Estimating the reproductive number \(R_0\) of SARS-CoV-2 in the United States and eight European countries and implications for vaccination
• Inference from iterative simulation using multiple sequences
• Joint impacts of media, vaccination and treatment on an epidemic Filippov model with application to COVID-19
• The discrete age-structured SEIT model with application to tuberculosis transmission in China
• The turning point and end of an expanding epidemic cannot be precisely forecast
• Vaccination strategies based on feedback control techniques for a general SEIR-epidemic model

Cited in

(7)

• The spread of COVID-19 and the BCG vaccine: A natural experiment in reunified Germany
• Network models to evaluate vaccine strategies towards herd immunity in COVID-19
• Analysis of Covid-19 dynamics in Brazil by recursive state and parameter estimations
• Modeling the effect of the vaccination campaign on the COVID-19 pandemic
• Estimating the basic reproduction number from noisy daily data
• Analysis and parametrical estimation with real COVID-19 data of a new extended SEIR epidemic model with quarantined individuals
• Effect of vaccination to COVID-19 disease progression and herd immunity

Describes a project that uses

Uses Software

• pymcmcstat

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