Analysis of a time-delayed HIV/AIDS epidemic model with education campaigns

DOI10.1007/S40314-021-01601-8zbMATH Open1476.92042arXiv2101.05925OpenAlexW3194475346MaRDI QIDQ2245756FDOQ2245756

Authors: Dawit Denu, Sedar Ngoma, Rachidi Bolaji Salako 

Publication date: 15 November 2021

Published in: Computational and Applied Mathematics (Search for Journal in Brave)

Abstract: We consider a time-delayed HIV/AIDS epidemic model with education dissemination and study the asymptotic dynamics of solutions as well as the asymptotic behavior of the endemic equilibrium with respect to the amount of information disseminated about the disease. Under appropriate assumptions on the infection rates, we show that if the basic reproduction number is less than or equal to one, then the disease will be eradicated in the long run and any solution to the Cauchy problem converges to the unique disease-free equilibrium of the model. On the other hand, when the basic reproduction number is greater than one, we prove that the disease will be permanent but its impact on the population can be significantly minimized as the amount of education dissemination increases. In particular, under appropriate hypothesis on the model parameters, we establish that the size of the component of the infected population of the endemic equilibrium decreases linearly as a function of the amount of information disseminated. We also fit our model to a set of data on HIV/AIDS in order to estimate the infection, effective response, and information rates of the disease. We then use these estimates to present numerical simulations to illustrate our theoretical findings.

Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/2101.05925

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zbMATH Keywords

asymptotic behaviorbifurcationepidemic modeldelay differential equationsnumerical approximations

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Epidemiology (92D30) Qualitative investigation and simulation of models involving functional-differential equations (34K60)

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Cited In (5)

• Dynamics of solutions of a diffusive time-delayed HIV/AIDS epidemic model: traveling wave solutions and spreading speeds
• Modelling effects of public health educational campaigns on HIV/AIDS transmission dynamics
• Dynamical analysis of public health education on HIV/AIDS transmission
• Dynamics of classical solutions of a multi-strain diffusive epidemic model with mass-action transmission mechanism
• Analysis of a delayed HIV/AIDS epidemic model with saturation incidence

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