Analysis of a disease transmission model in a population with varying size

DOI10.1007/BF00178776MaRDI QIDQ2277398zbMATH OpenWikidataFDO

Authors Stavros N. Busenberg, P. van den Driessche

Publication date 1990

Published in Journal of Mathematical Biology (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00178776

zbMATH Keywords

Bendixson's criterionDulac's criterionendemic proportionglobal stabilitynonexistence of periodic solutionspopulation of varying sizeSIRS epidemiological modelthreshold parameters

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Topological structure of integral curves, singular points, limit cycles of ordinary differential equations (34C05) Periodic solutions to ordinary differential equations (34C25) Epidemiology (92D30)

Review text

A new result is given to establish the nonexistence of periodic solutions which includes the criteria of Bendixson and Dulac as special cases. The authors discuss a SIRS epidemiological model with vital dynamics in a population of varying size: \[ dS/dt=bN-dS-\lambda SI/N+eR,\quad dI/dt=- (d+\epsilon +c)I+\lambda SI/N,\quad dR/dt=-(d+\delta +e)R+cI, \] N\(=S+I+R\) and the parameters b,d,\(\epsilon\),\(\delta\),c,e and \(\lambda\) are nonnegative. A complete global analysis is given which uses the new result to establish the nonexistence of periodic solutions. Results are discussed in terms of three threshold parameters which respectively govern the increase of the total population, the existence and stability of an endemic proportion equilibrium and the growth of the infective population.

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