Conditioned local limit theorems for random walks defined on finite Markov chains

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Publication:2291699



Abstract: Let (Xn)ngeq0 be a Markov chain with values in a finite state space mathbbX starting at X0=xinmathbbX and let f be a real function defined on mathbbX. Set Sn=sumk=1nf(Xk), ngeqslant1. For any yinmathbbR denote by auy the first time when y+Sn becomes non-positive. We study the asymptotic behaviour of the probability mathbbPxleft(y+Snin[z,z+a],,,auy>night) as no+infty. We first establish for this probability a conditional version of the local limit theorem of Stone. Then we find for it an asymptotic equivalent of order n3/2 and give a generalization which is useful in applications. We also describe the asymptotic behaviour of the probability mathbbPxleft(auy=night) as no+infty.



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