Bifurcations and strange nonchaotic attractors in a phase oscillator model of glacial-interglacial cycles
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Publication:2356930
Abstract: Glacial-interglacial cycles are large variations in continental ice mass and greenhouse gases, which have dominated climate variability over the Quaternary. The dominant periodicity of the cycles is 40 kyr before the so-called middle Pleistocene transition between 1.2 and 0.7 Myr ago, and it is 100 kyr after the transition. In this paper, the dynamics of glacial-interglacial cycles are investigated using a phase oscillator model forced by the time-varying incoming solar radiation (insolation). We analyze the bifurcations of the system and show that strange nonchaotic attractors appear through nonsmooth saddle-node bifurcations of tori. The bifurcation analysis indicates that mode-locking is likely to occur for the 41 kyr glacial cycles but not likely for the 100 kyr glacial cycles. The sequence of mode-locked 41 kyr cycles is robust to small parameter changes. However, the sequence of 100 kyr glacial cycles can be sensitive to parameter changes when the system has a strange nonchaotic attractor.
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- On the effect of forcing on fold bifurcations and early-warning signals in population dynamics
- Strange nonchaotic attractors in a quasiperiodically forced articulated mooring tower model
- Grazing bifurcations and transitions between periodic states of the PP04 model for the glacial cycle
- Effects of additive noise on the stability of glacial cycles
- On the period-multiplying bifurcation of glacial cycles in the Pliocene-Pleistocene
- Regular and chaotic regimes in Saltzman model of glacial climate dynamics under the influence of additive and parametric noise
- Concave-convex nonautonomous scalar ordinary differential equations: from bifurcation theory to critical transitions
- Mechanisms of strange nonchaotic attractors in a nonsmooth system with border-collision bifurcations
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