Basic reproduction ratios for almost periodic compartmental epidemic models
Almost and pseudo-almost periodic solutions to ordinary differential equations (34C27) Qualitative investigation and simulation of ordinary differential equation models (34C60) Asymptotic properties of solutions to ordinary differential equations (34D05) Stability of solutions to ordinary differential equations (34D20) Topological dynamics of nonautonomous systems (37B55) Epidemiology (92D30)
The authors establish a theory for the basic reproduction ratio \(R_0\) and its computation formulae for almost periodic compartmental epidemic models. It is shown that the disease-free almost periodic solution is stable for \(R_0<1\), and unstable for \(R_0>1\). They also apply the developed theory to a patchy model with almost periodic population dispersal and disease transmission coefficients to obtain a threshold type result for uniform persistence and global extinction of the disease.
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