Marked empirical processes for non-stationary time series

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Publication:2435236



Abstract: Consider a first-order autoregressive process where varepsiloni=G(etai,etai−1,ldots) and etai,iinmathbbZ are i.i.d. random variables. Motivated by two important issues for the inference of this model, namely, the quantile inference for , and the goodness-of-fit for the unit root model, the notion of the marked empirical process alphan(x)=frac1nsumi=1ng(Xi/an)I(varepsilonileqx),xinmathbbR is investigated in this paper. Herein, g(cdot) is a continuous function on mathbbR and an is a sequence of self-normalizing constants. As the innovation varepsiloni is usually not observable, the residual marked empirical process hatalphan(x)=frac1nsumi=1ng(Xi/an)I(hatvarepsilonileqx),xinmathbbR, is considered instead, where and is a consistent estimate of In particular, via the martingale decomposition of stationary process and the stochastic integral result of Jakubowski (Ann. Probab. 24 (1996) 2141-2153), the limit distributions of alphan(x) and hatalphan(x) are established when varepsiloni is a short-memory process. Furthermore, by virtue of the results of Wu (Bernoulli 95 (2003) 809-831) and Ho and Hsing (Ann. Statist. 24 (1996) 992-1024) of empirical process and the integral result of Mikosch and Norvaiv{s}a (Bernoulli 6 (2000) 401-434) and Young (Acta Math. 67 (1936) 251-282), the limit distributions of alphan(x) and hatalphan(x) are also derived when varepsiloni is a long-memory process.




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