The reference class problem is your problem too

DOI10.1007/S11229-006-9138-5zbMATH Open1125.03303OpenAlexW2152648747MaRDI QIDQ2460153FDOQ2460153

Alan Hájek

Publication date: 14 November 2007

Published in: Synthese (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11229-006-9138-5

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zbMATH Keywords

PopperKolmogorovPropensityConditional probabilityFrequentistReference class problemSubjectivist interpretations of probability

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Probability and inductive logic (03B48) Philosophical and critical aspects of logic and foundations (03A05) Axioms; other general questions in probability (60A05)

Cites Work

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• Inferring Probabilities From Symmetries
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• Reichenbach, reference classes, and single case probabilities
• Absolute probability functions for intuitionistic propositional logic
• The Prevision of a Prevision
• A Theory of Higher Order Probabilities

Cited In (11)

• Four Approaches to the Reference Class Problem
• Simpson's paradox in natural resource evaluation
• Probabilities as ratios of ranges in initial-state spaces
• The fall of ``Adams' thesis?
• Effective field theories as a novel probe of fine-tuning of cosmic inflation
• The best Humean system for statistical mechanics
• Two problems of direct inference
• `All models are wrong...': an introduction to model uncertainty
• A non-probabilist principle of higher-order reasoning
• Natural probabilistic information
• New theory about old evidence. A framework for open-minded Bayesianism

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