The reference class problem is your problem too

DOI10.1007/S11229-006-9138-5MaRDI QIDQ2460153zbMATH OpenOpenAlexFDO

Authors Alan Hájek

Publication date 14 November 2007

Published in Synthese (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL https://doi.org/10.1007/s11229-006-9138-5

zbMATH Keywords

PopperKolmogorovPropensityConditional probabilityFrequentistReference class problemSubjectivist interpretations of probability

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Probability and inductive logic (03B48) Philosophical and critical aspects of logic and foundations (03A05) Axioms; other general questions in probability (60A05)

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• A theory of higher order probabilities
• Absolute probability functions for intuitionistic propositional logic
• Bigger than chaos. Understanding complexity through probability
• I.—PROBABILITY: THE DEDUCTIVE AND INDUCTIVE PROBLEMS
• Inferring Probabilities From Symmetries
• Probability, statistical optics, and data testing. A problem solving approach.
• Reichenbach, reference classes, and single case probabilities
• The Prevision of a Prevision
• What conditional probability could not be

Cited in

(13)

• The fall of ``Adams' thesis?
• Two problems of direct inference
• `All models are wrong...': an introduction to model uncertainty
• The best Humean system for statistical mechanics
• Reference classes and multiple inheritances
• Effective field theories as a novel probe of fine-tuning of cosmic inflation
• A non-probabilist principle of higher-order reasoning
• Natural probabilistic information
• New theory about old evidence. A framework for open-minded Bayesianism
• Four Approaches to the Reference Class Problem
• The reference class problem is your problem too!
• Probabilities as ratios of ranges in initial-state spaces
• Simpson's paradox in natural resource evaluation

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