The reference class problem is your problem too

DOI10.1007/s11229-006-9138-5zbMath1125.03303MaRDI QIDQ2460153

Alan Hájek

Publication date: 14 November 2007

Published in: Synthese (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11229-006-9138-5

zbMATH Keywords

Popper; Kolmogorov; Propensity; Conditional probability; Frequentist; Reference class problem; Subjectivist interpretations of probability

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

03A05: Philosophical and critical aspects of logic and foundations

03B48: Probability and inductive logic

60A05: Axioms; other general questions in probability

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The best Humean system for statistical mechanics, A non-probabilist principle of higher-order reasoning, Natural probabilistic information, New theory about old evidence. A framework for open-minded Bayesianism, Simpson's paradox in natural resource evaluation, Two problems of direct inference, The fall of ``Adams' thesis?, Probabilities as ratios of ranges in initial-state spaces

Cites Work

• Reichenbach, reference classes, and single case probabilities
• Absolute probability functions for intuitionistic propositional logic
• What conditional probability could not be
• A Theory of Higher Order Probabilities
• The Prevision of a Prevision
• I.—PROBABILITY: THE DEDUCTIVE AND INDUCTIVE PROBLEMS
• Inferring Probabilities From Symmetries
• Probability, statistical optics, and data testing. A problem solving approach.
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