An information platform for scenario analysis in technology foresight problems

DOI10.1023/B:CASA.0000003506.97138.DEMaRDI QIDQ2487919zbMATH OpenFDO

Authors Michael Z. Zgurovsky, N. D. Pankratova

Publication date 12 August 2005

Published in Cybernetics and Systems Analysis (Search for Journal in Brave)

zbMATH Keywords

qualitative analysisexpert estimationtechnology foresightscenario analysisinformation platform

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Theory of languages and software systems (knowledge-based systems, expert systems, etc.) for artificial intelligence (68T35)

Recommendations

• Foresight and governance: a problem-oriented methodology (GOVSIGHT)
• The expert evaluation of multi-factor risks in technological forecasting
• Discrete analysis of expert information. Research trends
• scientific article; zbMATH DE number 3921627
• Development of the prediction graph method under incomplete and inaccurate expert estimates

Cited in

(5)

• Quantitative Horizon Scanning for Mitigating Technological Surprise: Detecting the Potential for Collaboration at the Interface
• Modeling of scenarios for the underground construction planning based on the foresight and cognitive modeling methodologies
• The expert evaluation of multi-factor risks in technological forecasting
• Formalizing the consistency of experts' judgments in the Delphi method
• Foresight and governance: a problem-oriented methodology (GOVSIGHT)

This page was built for publication: An information platform for scenario analysis in technology foresight problems

Report a bug (only for logged in users!)Click here to report a bug for this page (MaRDI item Q2487919)