Individual versus cluster recoveries within a spatially structured population
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Publication:2494586
Abstract: Stochastic modeling of disease dynamics has had a long tradition. Among the first epidemic models including a spatial structure in the form of local interactions is the contact process. In this article we investigate two extensions of the contact process describing the course of a single disease within a spatially structured human population distributed in social clusters. That is, each site of the -dimensional integer lattice is occupied by a cluster of individuals; each individual can be healthy or infected. The evolution of the disease depends on three parameters, namely the outside infection rate which models the interactions between the clusters, the within infection rate which takes into account the repeated contacts between individuals in the same cluster, and the size of each social cluster. For the first model, we assume cluster recoveries, while individual recoveries are assumed for the second one. The aim is to investigate the existence of nontrivial stationary distributions for both processes depending on the value of each of the three parameters. Our results show that the probability of an epidemic strongly depends on the recovery mechanism.
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Cited in
(11)- On the role of social clusters in the transmission of infectious diseases.
- Disease spreading on populations structured by groups
- Bootstrap percolation on the product of the two-dimensional lattice with a Hamming square
- Branching random walks and multi-type contact-processes on the percolation cluster of \(\mathbb{Z}^{d}\)
- A model of tuberculosis transmission and intervention strategies in an urban residential area
- Spatial epidemics: Critical behavior in one dimension
- Contact Process with Destruction of Cubes and Hyperplanes: Forest Fires Versus Tornadoes
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