Indirect effects of primary prey population dynamics on alternative prey
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Publication:2631107
DOI10.1016/J.TPB.2015.04.002zbMATH Open1342.92157arXiv1405.2428OpenAlexW2094272425WikidataQ35619682 ScholiaQ35619682MaRDI QIDQ2631107FDOQ2631107
Authors: Frédéric Barraquand, Leslie F. New, Stephen Redpath, Jason Matthiopoulos
Publication date: 28 July 2016
Published in: Theoretical Population Biology (Search for Journal in Brave)
Abstract: We develop a theory of generalist predation showing how alternative prey species are affected by changes in both mean abundance and variability (coefficient of variation) of their predator's primary prey. The theory is motivated by the indirect effects of cyclic rodent populations on ground-breeding birds, and developed through progressive analytic simplifications of an empirically-based model. It applies nonetheless to many other systems where primary prey have fast life-histories and can become locally superabundant, which facilitates impact on alternative prey species. In contrast to classic apparent competition theory based on symmetric interactions, our results suggest that predator effects on alternative prey should generally decrease with mean primary prey abundance, and increase with primary prey variability (low to high CV) - unless predators have strong aggregative responses, in which case these results can be reversed. Approximations of models including predator dynamics (general numerical response with possible delays) confirm these results but further suggest that negative temporal correlation between predator and primary prey is harmful to alternative prey. We find in general that predator numerical responses are crucial to predict the response of ecosystems to changes in key prey species exhibiting outbreaks, and extend the apparent competition/mutualism theory to asymmetric interactions.
Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/1405.2428
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