Asymptotic stability of empirical processes and related functionals

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Publication:2633763



Abstract: Let E be a space of observables in a sequence of trials xin and define mn to be the empirical distributions of the outcomes. We discuss the almost sure convergence of the sequence mn in terms of the psi-weak topology of measures, when the sequence xin is assumed to be stationary. In this respect, the limit variable is naturally described as a certain canonical conditional distribution. Then, given some functional au defined on a space of laws, the consistency of the estimators au(mn) is investigated. Hence, a criterion for a refined notion of robustness, that applies when considering random measures, is provided in terms of the modulus of continuity of au.


Let $\xi_1,\xi_2,\dots$ be a stationary sequence of random trials, with $m_n$ the empirical measure of the first $n$ of these trials. One of the main results of the present paper is the almost sure convergence of these empirical measures in the $\psi$-weak topology as $n\rightarrow\infty$, where $\psi$ is a continuous function playing the role of a gauge function and the limit is in terms of a certain conditional distribution. \par Motivated by applications in financial risk, the authors also consider a functional $\tau$, studying strong consistency of the statistics $\tau(m_n)$ and giving conditions for asymptotic stability of $\tau(m_n)$ with respect to given perturbations of the data.











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