Selection of estimation window in the presence of breaks
From MaRDI portal
Publication:278494
DOI10.1016/j.jeconom.2006.03.010zbMath1360.62385OpenAlexW2106019945MaRDI QIDQ278494
M. Hashem Pesaran, Allan G. Timmermann
Publication date: 2 May 2016
Published in: Journal of Econometrics (Search for Journal in Brave)
Full work available at URL: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jeconom.2006.03.010
Related Items (38)
Unnamed Item ⋮ Stock return predictability: A factor-augmented predictive regression system with shrinkage method ⋮ Delay times of sequential procedures for multiple time series regression models ⋮ Rolling window selection for out-of-sample forecasting with time-varying parameters ⋮ The macroeconomic and fiscal implications of inflation forecast errors ⋮ Predicting the yield curve using forecast combinations ⋮ Real-time factor model forecasting and the effects of instability ⋮ Calendar effect and in-sample forecasting ⋮ Forecasting with GARCH models under structural breaks: An approach based on combinations across estimation windows ⋮ Selection of an estimation window in the presence of data revisions and recent structural breaks ⋮ Optimal model averaging based on forward-validation ⋮ Penalized time-varying model averaging ⋮ Loss function-based change point detection in risk measures ⋮ Structural Breaks in Grouped Heterogeneity ⋮ A time-varying diffusion index forecasting model ⋮ A factor approach to realized volatility forecasting in the presence of finite jumps and cross-sectional correlation in pricing errors ⋮ (WHEN) DO LONG AUTOREGRESSIONS ACCOUNT FOR NEGLECTED CHANGES IN PARAMETERS? ⋮ Unpredictability in economic analysis, econometric modeling and forecasting ⋮ Short-run price forecast performance of individual and composite models for 496 corn cash markets ⋮ Optimal forecasts in the presence of structural breaks ⋮ Adaptive forecasting in the presence of recent and ongoing structural change ⋮ Forecasting a long memory process subject to structural breaks ⋮ Consistent factor estimation in dynamic factor models with structural instability ⋮ Forecasting by factors, by variables, by both or neither? ⋮ Sequential monitoring of minimum variance portfolio ⋮ Forecasting volatility in bitcoin market ⋮ Time-varying model averaging ⋮ Yield curve forecast combinations based on bond portfolio performance ⋮ Averaging estimators for autoregressions with a near unit root ⋮ Robust forecast combinations ⋮ Boosting high dimensional predictive regressions with time varying parameters ⋮ Forecasting volatility using combination across estimation windows: an application to S\&P500 stock market index ⋮ Does modeling a structural break improve forecast accuracy? ⋮ Analyzing cross-validation for forecasting with structural instability ⋮ Quantile aggregation and combination for stock return prediction ⋮ Conditional rotation between forecasting models ⋮ Testing for parameter instability and structural change in persistent predictive regressions ⋮ Structural-break models under mis-specification: implications for forecasting
Cites Work
- The power of tests of predictive ability in the presence of structural breaks
- Small sample properties of forecasts from autoregressive models under structural breaks
- Handbook of economic forecasting. Volume 1
- A new test for structural stability in the linear regression model
- Strong rules for detecting the number of breaks in a time series
- Optimal changepoint tests for normal linear regression
- Tests for Parameter Instability and Structural Change With Unknown Change Point
- Tests of Equality Between Sets of Coefficients in Two Linear Regressions
- Forecasting Time Series Subject to Multiple Structural Breaks
- Use of Cumulative Sums of Squares for Retrospective Detection of Changes of Variance
- Estimating and Testing Linear Models with Multiple Structural Changes
- Monitoring Structural Change
- Tests of equal forecast accuracy and encompassing for nested models
- Unnamed Item
- Unnamed Item
- Unnamed Item
This page was built for publication: Selection of estimation window in the presence of breaks