Capture-recapture abundance estimation using a semi-complete data likelihood approach
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Publication:288584
DOI10.1214/15-AOAS890zbMATH Open1454.62346arXiv1508.06313MaRDI QIDQ288584FDOQ288584
Authors: Ruth King, Brett T. McClintock, Darren Kidney, D. L. Borchers 
Publication date: 27 May 2016
Published in: The Annals of Applied Statistics (Search for Journal in Brave)
Abstract: Capture-recapture data are often collected when abundance estimation is of interest. In the presence of unobserved individual heterogeneity, specified on a continuous scale for the capture probabilities, the likelihood is not generally available in closed form, but expressible only as an analytically intractable integral. Model-fitting algorithms to estimate abundance most notably include a numerical approximation for the likelihood or use of a Bayesian data augmentation technique considering the complete data likelihood. We consider a Bayesian hybrid approach, defining a "semi-complete" data likelihood, composed of the product of a complete data likelihood component for individuals seen at least once within the study and a marginal data likelihood component for the individuals not seen within the study, approximated using numerical integration. This approach combines the advantages of the two different approaches, with the semi-complete likelihood component specified as a single integral (over the dimension of the individual heterogeneity component). In addition, the models can be fitted within BUGS/JAGS (commonly used for the Bayesian complete data likelihood approach) but with significantly improved computational efficiency compared to the commonly used super-population data augmentation approaches (between about 10 and 77 times more efficient in the two examples we consider). The semi-complete likelihood approach is flexible and applicable to a range of models, including spatially explicit capture-recapture models. The model-fitting approach is applied to two different datasets corresponding to the closed population model for snowshoe hare data and a spatially explicit capture-recapture model applied to gibbon data.
Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/1508.06313
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Bayesian inference (62F15) Applications of statistics to biology and medical sciences; meta analysis (62P10) Applications of statistics to environmental and related topics (62P12)
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Cited In (13)
- When ecological individual heterogeneity models and large data collide: an importance sampling approach
- Improving estimates of abundance by aggregating sparse capture-recapture data
- From distance sampling to spatial capture-recapture
- Capture-recapture abundance estimation using a semi-complete data likelihood approach
- Spatial capture-recapture with partial identity: an application to camera traps
- A spatial capture-recapture model with attractions between individuals
- Multistage hierarchical capture-recapture models
- On the identifiability of the trinomial model for mark-recapture-recovery studies
- Spatial capture-recapture models
- Laplace approximations for capture-recapture models in the presence of individual heterogeneity
- A flexible ratio regression approach for zero-truncated capture-recapture counts
- Bayesian dual systems population estimation for small domains
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