On species persistence-time distributions

DOI10.1016/J.JTBI.2012.02.022zbMATH1337.92199OpenAlexW1966221290WikidataQ34326982MaRDI QIDQ289470FDOQ289470

Authors Amos Maritan, A. Rinaldo, S. Suweis, E. Bertuzzo, L. Mari, I. Rodriguez-Iturbe

Publication date 30 May 2016

Published in Journal of Theoretical Biology (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL https://arxiv.org/abs/1203.4482

zbMATH Keywords

biodiversityspatial ecologymacroecologyneutral ecological theorysampling problems

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Population dynamics (general) (92D25) Ecology (92D40)

Abstract: We present new theoretical and empirical results on the probability distributions of species persistence times in natural ecosystems. Persistence times, defined as the timespans occurring between species' colonization and local extinction in a given geographic region, are empirically estimated from local observations of species' presence/absence. A connected sampling problem is presented, generalized and solved analytically. Species persistence is shown to provide a direct connection with key spatial macroecological patterns like species-area and endemics-area relationships. Our empirical analysis pertains to two different ecosystems and taxa: a herbaceous plant community and a estuarine fish database. Despite the substantial differences in ecological interactions and spatial scales, we confirm earlier evidence on the general properties of the scaling of persistence times, including the predicted effects of the structure of the spatial interaction network. The framework tested here allows to investigate directly nature and extent of spatial effects in the context of ecosystem dynamics. The notable coherence between spatial and temporal macroecological patterns, theoretically derived and empirically verified, is suggested to underlie general features of the dynamic evolution of ecosystems.

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Cites work

• Ergodic theorems for weakly interacting infinite systems and the voter model
• Nonparametric estimation in the presence of length bias
• Range size in mid-domain models of species diversity
• Species lifetime distribution for simple models of ecologies
• Weighted Distributions and Size-Biased Sampling with Applications to Wildlife Populations and Human Families

Cited in

(8)

• Inferring plant ecosystem organization from species occurrences
• Environmental Stochasticity Driving the Extinction of Top Predators in a Food Chain Chemostat Model
• A phenomenological spatial model for macro-ecological patterns in species-rich ecosystems
• Persistence probabilities for stream populations
• Stochastic spatial models in ecology: a statistical physics approach
• Scale-free extinction dynamics in spatially structured host-parasitoid systems
• Transience after disturbance: obligate species recovery dynamics depend on disturbance duration
• A simple model for skewed species-lifetime distributions

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