Sparse estimators and the oracle property, or the return of Hodges' estimator

DOI10.1016/J.JECONOM.2007.05.017zbMATH Open1418.62272arXiv0704.1466OpenAlexW2019473361MaRDI QIDQ290948FDOQ290948

Hannes Leeb, Benedikt M. Pötscher

Publication date: 3 June 2016

Published in: Journal of Econometrics (Search for Journal in Brave)

Abstract: We point out some pitfalls related to the concept of an oracle property as used in Fan and Li (2001, 2002, 2004) which are reminiscent of the well-known pitfalls related to Hodges' estimator. The oracle property is often a consequence of sparsity of an estimator. We show that any estimator satisfying a sparsity property has maximal risk that converges to the supremum of the loss function; in particular, the maximal risk diverges to infinity whenever the loss function is unbounded. For ease of presentation the result is set in the framework of a linear regression model, but generalizes far beyond that setting. In a Monte Carlo study we also assess the extent of the problem in finite samples for the smoothly clipped absolute deviation (SCAD) estimator introduced in Fan and Li (2001). We find that this estimator can perform rather poorly in finite samples and that its worst-case performance relative to maximum likelihood deteriorates with increasing sample size when the estimator is tuned to sparsity.

Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/0704.1466

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zbMATH Keywords

LassoSCADpenalized maximum likelihoodsparsityoracle propertybridge estimatorhard-thresholdingHodges' estimatormaximal absolute biasmaximal risknonuniform limitspenalized least squares

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Asymptotic properties of parametric estimators (62F12) Nonparametric regression and quantile regression (62G08) Linear regression; mixed models (62J05) Estimation in survival analysis and censored data (62N02) Applications of statistics to economics (62P20) Ridge regression; shrinkage estimators (Lasso) (62J07)

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• A PANEL CLUSTERING APPROACH TO ANALYZING BUBBLE BEHAVIOR

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