Consistencies and rates of convergence of jump-penalized least squares estimators

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Abstract: We study the asymptotics for jump-penalized least squares regression aiming at approximating a regression function by piecewise constant functions. Besides conventional consistency and convergence rates of the estimates in L2([0,1)) our results cover other metrics like Skorokhod metric on the space of c`{a}dl`{a}g functions and uniform metrics on C([0,1]). We will show that these estimators are in an adaptive sense rate optimal over certain classes of "approximation spaces." Special cases are the class of functions of bounded variation (piecewise) H"{o}lder continuous functions of order 0<alphale1 and the class of step functions with a finite but arbitrary number of jumps. In the latter setting, we will also deduce the rates known from change-point analysis for detecting the jumps. Finally, the issue of fully automatic selection of the smoothing parameter is addressed.



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