On estimation of isotonic piecewise constant signals

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Publication:2196185




Abstract: Consider a sequence of real data points X1,ldots,Xn with underlying means heta1,dots,hetan. This paper starts from studying the setting that hetai is both piecewise constant and monotone as a function of the index i. For this, we establish the exact minimax rate of estimating such monotone functions, and thus give a non-trivial answer to an open problem in the shape-constrained analysis literature. The minimax rate involves an interesting iterated logarithmic dependence on the dimension, a phenomenon that is revealed through characterizing the interplay between the isotonic shape constraint and model selection complexity. We then develop a penalized least-squares procedure for estimating the vector heta=(heta1,dots,hetan)T. This estimator is shown to achieve the derived minimax rate adaptively. For the proposed estimator, we further allow the model to be misspecified and derive oracle inequalities with the optimal rates, and show there exists a computationally efficient algorithm to compute the exact solution.



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