Statistical inference for Sobol pick-freeze Monte Carlo method

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Publication:2953571

DOI10.1080/02331888.2015.1105803zbMATH Open1355.62010arXiv1303.6447OpenAlexW1938308181MaRDI QIDQ2953571FDOQ2953571


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Publication date: 4 January 2017

Published in: Statistics (Search for Journal in Brave)

Abstract: Many mathematical models involve input parameters, which are not precisely known. Global sensitivity analysis aims to identify the parameters whose uncertainty has the largest impact on the variability of a quantity of interest (output of the model). One of the statistical tools used to quantify the influence of each input variable on the output is the Sobol sensitivity index. We consider the statistical estimation of this index from a finite sample of model outputs. We study asymptotic and non-asymptotic properties of two estimators of Sobol indices. These properties are applied to significance tests and estimation by confidence intervals.


Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/1303.6447




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