Out of sample forecasts of quadratic variation
DOI10.1016/J.JECONOM.2008.09.015zbMATH Open1429.62648OpenAlexW2143621568MaRDI QIDQ299250FDOQ299250
Authors: Yacine Aït-Sahalia, Loriano Mancini
Publication date: 22 June 2016
Published in: Journal of Econometrics (Search for Journal in Brave)
Full work available at URL: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jeconom.2008.09.015
Recommendations
measurement errorrealized volatilityhigh frequency datamarket microstructure noiseout of sample forecaststwo scales realized volatility
Time series, auto-correlation, regression, etc. in statistics (GARCH) (62M10) Applications of statistics to economics (62P20) Applications of statistics to actuarial sciences and financial mathematics (62P05) Economic time series analysis (91B84)
Cites Work
- Non-Gaussian Ornstein-Uhlenbeck-based models and some of their uses in financial economics. (With discussion)
- A theory of the term structure of interest rates
- A closed-form solution for options with stochastic volatility with applications to bond and currency options
- Fractionally integrated generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity
- A Simple, Positive Semi-Definite, Heteroskedasticity and Autocorrelation Consistent Covariance Matrix
- Tests for Hurst effect
- MIDAS Regressions: Further Results and New Directions
- Log-periodogram regression of time series with long range dependence
- Modeling and pricing long memory in stock market volatility
- Modeling volatility persistence of speculative returns: a new approach
- Efficient estimation of stochastic volatility using noisy observations: a multi-scale approach
- THE ESTIMATION AND APPLICATION OF LONG MEMORY TIME SERIES MODELS
- Econometric Analysis of Realized Volatility and its Use in Estimating Stochastic Volatility Models
- Modeling and Forecasting Realized Volatility
- A Tale of Two Time Scales
- Realized volatility forecasting and market microstructure noise
- Volatility forecasting and microstructure noise
- The detection and estimation of long memory in stochastic volatility
- Testing for strong serial correlation and dynamic conditional heteroskedasticity in multiple regression
- Long memory relationships and the aggregation of dynamic models
- Asymptotic error distributions for the Euler method for stochastic differential equations
- Long memory continuous time models
- Long memory in continuous-time stochastic volatility models
- Econometric Evaluation of Linear Macro-Economic Models
- Stochastic volatility as a simple generator of apparent financial power laws and long memory
- The dynamics of stochastic volatility: evidence from underlying and options markets
- Integration questions related to fractional Brownian motion
- Estimating stochastic volatility diffusion using conditional moments of integrated volatility
- Superposition of Ornstein-Uhlenbeck type processes
- On spectral simulation of fractional Brownian motion
- Portfolio Analysis in a Stable Paretian Market
- Correcting the Errors: Volatility Forecast Evaluation Using High-Frequency Data and Realized Volatilities
- Ultra high frequency volatility estimation with dependent microstructure noise
- Fractional {O}rnstein-{U}hlenbeck processes
- Predictive density estimators for daily volatility based on the use of realized measures
- Predictive Inference for Integrated Volatility
- Sampling Returns for Realized Variance Calculations: Tick Time or Transaction Time?
- Bootstrapping Realized Volatility
- Simulating a class of stationary Gaussian processes using the Davies-Harte algorithm, with application to long memory processes
- On the prediction of fractional Brownian motion
- Box-Cox transforms for realized volatility
- Edgeworth expansions for realized volatility and related estimators
Cited In (26)
- Combining statistical intervals and market prices: the worst case state price distribution
- Exploiting the errors: a simple approach for improved volatility forecasting
- High-frequency jump tests: which test should we use?
- Inference for Nonparametric High-Frequency Estimators with an Application to Time Variation in Betas
- Forecasting Stock Return Volatility Using the Realized Garch Model and an Artificial Neural Network
- Zero-intelligence realized variance estimation.
- Bayesian Inference via Filtering Equations for Ultrahigh Frequency Data (I): Model and Estimation
- Realized volatility forecasting and option pricing
- Predictive density estimators for daily volatility based on the use of realized measures
- Forecasting with Using Quasilinear Recurrence Equation
- Realized wavelet-based estimation of integrated variance and jumps in the presence of noise
- Integrated variance forecasting: model based vs. reduced form
- Data-driven inference for stationary jump-diffusion processes with application to membrane voltage fluctuations in pyramidal neurons
- Matching non-synchronous observations in derivative markets: choosing windows and efficient estimators
- Estimating stochastic volatility models using daily returns and realized volatility simultaneously
- Forecasting realized volatility: a review
- Bayesian approach for parameter estimation of continuous-time stochastic volatility models using Fourier transform methods
- Forecasting Equations in Complex-Quaternionic Setting
- Data-based ranking of realised volatility estimators
- High-frequency estimation of the Lévy-driven graph Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process
- MIDAS Regressions: Further Results and New Directions
- Fourier volatility forecasting with high-frequency data and microstructure noise
- Probabilistic forecasts of volatility and its risk premia
- Realized volatility forecasting and market microstructure noise
- Threshold bipower variation and the impact of jumps on volatility forecasting
- Volatility forecasting and microstructure noise
This page was built for publication: Out of sample forecasts of quadratic variation
Report a bug (only for logged in users!)Click here to report a bug for this page (MaRDI item Q299250)