Backward bifurcation and control in transmission dynamics of arboviral diseases
From MaRDI portal
Publication:310012
DOI10.1016/J.MBS.2016.06.002zbMATH Open1347.34073arXiv1509.04919OpenAlexW2963798344WikidataQ40692611 ScholiaQ40692611MaRDI QIDQ310012FDOQ310012
Authors: H. Abboubakar, Jean Claude Kamgang, Daniel Tieudjo 
Publication date: 7 September 2016
Published in: Mathematical Biosciences (Search for Journal in Brave)
Abstract: In this paper, we derive and analyze a compartmental model for the control of arboviral diseases which takes into account an imperfect vaccine combined with individual protection and some vector control strategies already studied in the literature. After the formulation of the model, a qualitative study based on stability analysis and bifurcation theory reveals that the phenomenon of backward bifurcation may occur. The stable disease-free equilibrium of the model coexists with a stable endemic equilibrium when the reproduction number, R 0 , is less than unity. Using Lyapunov function theory, we prove that the trivial equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable; When the disease-- induced death is not considered, or/and, when the standard incidence is replaced by the mass action incidence, the backward bifurcation does not occur. Under a certain condition , we establish the global asymptotic stability of the disease--free equilibrium of the full model. Through sensitivity analysis, we determine the relative importance of model parameters for disease transmission. Numerical simulations show that the combination of several control mechanisms would significantly reduce the spread of the disease, if we maintain the level of each control high, and this, over a long period.
Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/1509.04919
Recommendations
- Modeling the dynamics of arboviral diseases with vaccination perspective
- Bifurcation thresholds and optimal control in transmission dynamics of arboviral diseases
- Stability and backward bifurcation in a malaria transmission model with applications to the control of malaria in China
- Backward bifurcations in dengue transmission dynamics
- Dynamical behavior of an epidemic model for a vector-borne disease with direct transmission
Epidemiology (92D30) Qualitative investigation and simulation of ordinary differential equation models (34C60) Bifurcation theory for ordinary differential equations (34C23) Stability of solutions to ordinary differential equations (34D20) Global stability of solutions to ordinary differential equations (34D23) Control problems involving ordinary differential equations (34H05)
Cites Work
- Nonlinear oscillations, dynamical systems, and bifurcations of vector fields
- Large Sample Properties of Simulations Using Latin Hypercube Sampling
- Title not available (Why is that?)
- The mathematics of infectious diseases
- Reproduction numbers and sub-threshold endemic equilibria for compartmental models of disease transmission
- Applications of centre manifold theory
- Dynamical models of tuberculosis and their applications
- Title not available (Why is that?)
- Title not available (Why is that?)
- Title not available (Why is that?)
- Qualitative Theory of Compartmental Systems
- Title not available (Why is that?)
- Backward bifurcations in dengue transmission dynamics
- Competitive exclusion in a vector-host model for the dengue fever
- A methodology for performing global uncertainty and sensitivity analysis in systems biology
- Modelling the dynamics of West Nile virus
- Global Results for an Epidemic Model with Vaccination that Exhibits Backward Bifurcation
- Determining important parameters in the spread of malaria through the sensitivity analysis of a mathematical model
- Analysis of a dengue disease transmission model
- A model for dengue disease with variable human population
- The chikungunya disease: modeling, vector and transmission global dynamics
- Stability theory for ordinary differential equations
- Backwards bifurcations and catastrophe in simple models of fatal diseases
- On the backward bifurcation of a vaccination model with nonlinear incidence
- Backward bifurcation and optimal control in transmission dynamics of West Nile virus
- Backward bifurcations in simple vaccination models
- An optimal control problem arising from a dengue disease transmission model
- Vector control for the Chikungunya disease
- Optimal control of chikungunya disease: larvae reduction, treatment and prevention
- Vaccination models and optimal control strategies to dengue
- Role of incidence function in vaccine-induced backward bifurcation in some HIV models
- Dengue fever: Mathematical modelling and computer simulation
- An epidemiology model suggested by yellow fever
- Vaccination based control of infections in SIRS models with reinfection: special reference to pertussis
- A note on the direction of the transcritical bifurcation in epidemic models
- Optimal and sub‐optimal control in Dengue epidemics
- Modeling the dynamics of arboviral diseases with vaccination perspective
- Dynamic of West Nile virus transmission considering several coexisting avian populations
- Threshold conditions for a non-autonomous epidemic system describing the population dynamics of dengue
- Seasonality and outbreaks of West Nile virus infection
- The effect of incidence function in backward bifurcation for malaria model with temporary immunity
- Computation of threshold conditions for epidemiological models and global stability of the disease-free equilibrium (DFE)
Cited In (17)
- Mathematical modeling, forecasting, and optimal control of typhoid fever transmission dynamics
- Mathematical modeling and projections of a vector-borne disease with optimal control strategies: a case study of the Chikungunya in Chad
- Modeling the infection dynamics of onchocerciasis and its treatment
- Backward bifurcations in dengue transmission dynamics
- Modeling the impact of non-human host predation on the transmission of Chagas disease
- Bifurcation thresholds and optimal control in transmission dynamics of arboviral diseases
- Oscillations and hysteresis in an epidemic model with information-dependent imperfect vaccination
- On the role of optimization in the cancer treatment by radiation therapy (RT)
- Mathematical modeling of the coronavirus (Covid-19) transmission dynamics using classical and fractional derivatives
- Backward bifurcation and optimal control in transmission dynamics of West Nile virus
- Analyzing the MERS disease control strategy through an optimal control problem
- Modeling and qualitative analysis of a hepatitis B epidemic model
- A new generalized fractional-order derivative and bifurcation analysis of cholera and human immunodeficiency co-infection dynamic transmission
- Vector preference annihilates backward bifurcation and reduces endemicity
- Modeling the dynamics of arboviral diseases with vaccination perspective
- Modeling and control of the hepatitis B virus spreading using an epidemic model
- A mathematical model for the dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 virus using the Caputo-Fabrizio operator
This page was built for publication: Backward bifurcation and control in transmission dynamics of arboviral diseases
Report a bug (only for logged in users!)Click here to report a bug for this page (MaRDI item Q310012)
