Vector-borne diseases models with residence times -- a Lagrangian perspective

DOI10.1016/J.MBS.2016.09.006zbMATH Open1348.92144arXiv1509.08894OpenAlexW2284007847WikidataQ40542079 ScholiaQ40542079MaRDI QIDQ338698FDOQ338698

Carlos Castillo-Chavez, Derdei Bichara

Publication date: 7 November 2016

Published in: Mathematical Biosciences (Search for Journal in Brave)

Abstract: A multi-patch and multi-group modeling framework describing the dynamics of a class of diseases driven by the interactions between vectors and hosts structured by groups is formulated. Hosts' dispersal is modeled in terms of patch-residence times with the nonlinear dynamics taking into account the extit{effective} patch-host size. The residence times basic reproduction number $mathcal{R}_0$ is computed and shown to depend on the relative environmental risk of infection. The model is robust, that is, the disease free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable (GAS) if $mathcal{R}_{0}leq1$ and a unique interior endemic equilibrium is shown to exist that is GAS whenever $mathcal{R}_0>1$ whenever the configuration of host-vector interactions is irreducible. The effects of extit{patchiness} and extit{groupness}, a measure of host-vector heterogeneous structure, on the basic reproduction number $mathcal{R}_0$, are explored. Numerical simulations are carried out to highlight the effects of residence times on disease prevalence.

Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/1509.08894

zbMATH Keywords

basic reproduction numberglobal stabilitynonlinear dynamical systemsvector-borne diseaseshuman dispersal

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Epidemiology (92D30) Nonlinear ordinary differential equations and systems (34A34) Global stability of solutions to ordinary differential equations (34D23) Monotone systems involving ordinary differential equations (34C12)

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