Novel exponents control the quasi-deterministic limit of the extinction transition

DOI10.1088/1751-8113/41/29/292003zbMATH Open1143.92034arXiv0803.0818OpenAlexW3121200886MaRDI QIDQ3516337FDOQ3516337

Authors: David A. Kessler, Nadav M. Shnerb 

Publication date: 1 August 2008

Published in: Journal of Physics A: Mathematical and Theoretical (Search for Journal in Brave)

Abstract: The quasi-deterministic limit of the generic extinction transition is considered within the framework of standard epidemiological models. The susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) model is known to exhibit a transition from extinction to spreading, as the infectivity is increased, described by the directed percolation equivalence class. We find that the distance from the transition point, and the prefactor controlling the divergence of the (perpendicular) correlation length, both scale with the local population size, $N$, with two novel universal exponents. Different exponents characterize the large $N$ behavior of the susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR) model, which belongs to the dynamic percolation class. Extensive numerical studies in a range of systems lead to the conjecture that these characteristics are generic and may be used in order to classify the high density limit of any stochastic process on the edge of extinction.

Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/0803.0818

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Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Epidemiology (92D30) Dynamical systems in biology (37N25) Interacting random processes; statistical mechanics type models; percolation theory (60K35)

Cited In (3)

• Epidemic extinction in a simplicial susceptible-infected-susceptible model
• Analytical solution of the SIR-model for the temporal evolution of epidemics: part B. Semi-time case
• Modeling epidemics dynamics on heterogenous networks

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