A path guessing game with wagering
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Publication:3585148
DOI10.1017/S0269964810000033zbMATH Open1201.91004arXiv0907.2196OpenAlexW2169325460MaRDI QIDQ3585148FDOQ3585148
Authors: Marcus Pendergrass
Publication date: 19 August 2010
Published in: Probability in the Engineering and Informational Sciences (Search for Journal in Brave)
Abstract: We consider a two-player game in which the first player (the Guesser) tries to guess, edge-by-edge, the path that second player (the Chooser) takes through a directed graph. At each step, the Guesser makes a wager as to the correctness of her guess, and receives a payoff proportional to her wager if she is correct. We derive optimal strategies for both players for various classes of graphs, and describe the Markov-chain dynamics of the game under optimal play. These results are applied to the infinite-duration Lying Oracle Game, in which the Guesser must use information provided by an unreliable Oracle to predict the outcome of a coin toss.
Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/0907.2196
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Markov chains (discrete-time Markov processes on discrete state spaces) (60J10) 2-person games (91A05) Probabilistic games; gambling (91A60)
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