scientific article; zbMATH DE number 15322
[For the entire collection see Zbl 0695.00030.] The aim of this paper is to review and to report on general results dealing with the description of a new mathematical model based on the concept of random graphs. This stochastic model is intended to describe the dynamics of sexually transmitted diseases. For shortness and simplicity we will mainly concentrate on the case of the Human Immuno- Deficiency Virus (HIV) and AIDS. We start, in Section 2, with a heuristic description of the characteristic properties of our model and explain its usefulness for epidemiological research. We discuss briefly the main difference between our model and the standard epidemiological models and list the problems and questions to which the model is able to give quite accurate answers. In Section 3 we outline the underlying general mathematical structure. We introduce the relevant spaces of random graphs and explain the construction of the discrete stochastic processes describing the spread of the infection. In Section 4 we introduce some simplified models for which we can consider an approximation relating the expected values of the number of infected individuals at time \(m\) and \(m+1\). In this way we arrive at discrete dynamical systems. Section 5 is devoted to the discussion of threshold theorems and critical parameters, which measure the ability of the infection to reproduce itself in the susceptible population. We then discuss shortly in Section 6 computational aspects of our framework.
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