scientific article; zbMATH DE number 1295619
In the transitive period of economic development in Russia, the change of economic structure happens, which is expressed in the reorganization of economic relations. In 1992-1993 the structures of administrative control of the economics were finally destroyed, but many of the former economic relations were preserved. The official doctrine of the reform was the reduction of the state role in the economic life. It was embodied first of all in the cancellation of state control of the production, the liquidation of control of the incomes and expenses, the sharp reduction of state orders, especially of military ones. The state has lost the control of the prices on the majorities of products, has lost the monopoly of the foreign trade. However actually the state continued strongly to influence on the economics. In this book the authors consider the mathematical simulation of the economics of the transition period: rise of several kinds of money, function of banks in stagnant economics at low inflation, behaviour of consumers. The model is based on the hypotheses received as a result of the systems analysis of economic relations usual in Russia. Some scripts of economic development are investigated. Contents: Part 1. Evolution of economic relations in Russia after the reform: Script of new economic relations. Part 2. Some theoretical questions of economics simulation of transitive period: Neoclassical model for interbranchial balance with account of property distribution. Model for activity of bank in stagnant economics. Model for bank. Current operations. Control problem of liquidity. Model for enterprise. Stackelberg equilibrium. Model for population savings. Economic agent ``the population. Model for cautious behaviour of consumer. Part 3. Mathematical model for regional economics: General scheme of model. Description of manufacturers. Production in subsectors. Relations of subsectors with suppliers and consumers. Mechanisms of regulation of productive and economic activity of manufacturers (subsectors) entering in finance-industrial groups. Analyses of optimality conditions and economic behaviour of manufacturer (subsector). Equation of material and financial balances of manufacturers. Trade-intermediary structures. Functions of costs of trade-intermediary structure and its economic behaviour. Financial balances of trade-intermediary structure. Bank system. Commercial bank. Interaction of bank with client. Management of liquid assets and operations on markets: state short-term bonds and interbank credits. Interest rate of credit for customers. Remains of loan accounts of customers. Remains of commercial banks accounts, remains of effective percents and remains of bank profit; financial balance of commercial bank in model. Savings bank. Non-productive sphere and interactions of agents. Consumer behaviour of population. Consumers groups and their incomes. Macromodel for behaviour of consumers group. Regional budget and off-budget funds. Economic functions of regional administration. Incomes of budget and incomes of off-budget funds and indebtedness of agents on payments in budget and in off-budget funds. Charges and indebtedness of budget and of off-budget funds. Interactions of economic agents. Part 4. Some results of computing experiments with model for regional economics: Use of regional economy model in applied researches. Application of model for economic analysis and forecasting. Identification and verification of model: base script. Research of some scripts: improvement of conjuncture on market of production of leading branch of regional economics, administrative reduction of non-payment of manufacturers in region, reduction of underground circulation in regional economics, deindustrialization of regional economics.
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