A type theory for probabilistic and Bayesian reasoning

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Publication:4580222

DOI10.4230/LIPICS.TYPES.2015.1zbMATH Open1433.68264arXiv1511.09230OpenAlexW2963712756MaRDI QIDQ4580222FDOQ4580222


Authors: Robin Adams, Bart Jacobs Edit this on Wikidata


Publication date: 13 August 2018

Abstract: This paper introduces a novel type theory and logic for probabilistic reasoning. Its logic is quantitative, with fuzzy predicates. It includes normalisation and conditioning of states. This conditioning uses a key aspect that distinguishes our probabilistic type theory from quantum type theory, namely the bijective correspondence between predicates and side-effect free actions (called instrument, or assert, maps). The paper shows how suitable computation rules can be derived from this predicate-action correspondence, and uses these rules for calculating conditional probabilities in two well-known examples of Bayesian reasoning in (graphical) models. Our type theory may thus form the basis for a mechanisation of Bayesian inference.


Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/1511.09230




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