Coexistence in the Face of Uncertainty
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Publication:4604873
DOI10.1007/978-1-4939-6969-2_12zbMATH Open1384.92053arXiv1512.03970OpenAlexW2272439116MaRDI QIDQ4604873FDOQ4604873
Authors: Sebastian J. Schreiber 
Publication date: 6 March 2018
Published in: Recent Progress and Modern Challenges in Applied Mathematics, Modeling and Computational Science (Search for Journal in Brave)
Abstract: Over the past century, nonlinear difference and differential equations have been used to understand conditions for species coexistence. However, these models fail to account for random fluctuations due to demographic and environmental stochasticity which are experienced by all populations. I review some recent mathematical results about persistence and coexistence for models accounting for each of these forms of stochasticity. Demographic stochasticity stems from populations and communities consisting of a finite number of interacting individuals, and often are represented by Markovian models with a countable number of states. For closed populations in a bounded world, extinction occurs in finite time but may be preceded by long-term transients. Quasi-stationary distributions (QSDs) of these Makov models characterize this meta-stable behavior. For sufficiently large "habitat sizes", QSDs are shown to concentrate on the positive attractors of deterministic models. Moreover, the probability extinction decreases exponentially with habitat size. Alternatively, environmental stochasticity stems from fluctuations in environmental conditions which influence survival, growth, and reproduction. Stochastic difference equations can be used to model the effects of environmental stochasticity on population and community dynamics. For these models, stochastic persistence corresponds to empirical measures placing arbitrarily little weight on arbitrarily low population densities. Sufficient and necessary conditions for stochastic persistence are reviewed. These conditions involve weighted combinations of Lyapunov exponents corresponding to "average" per-capita growth rates of rare species. The results are illustrated with Bay checkerspot butterflies, coupled sink populations, the storage effect, and stochastic rock-paper-scissor communities. Open problems and conjectures are presented.
Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/1512.03970
Recommendations
Markov chainscoexistencedemographic noiseenvironmental stochasticityquasi-stationary distributionsstochastic population dynamicsrandom difference equations
Applications of Markov chains and discrete-time Markov processes on general state spaces (social mobility, learning theory, industrial processes, etc.) (60J20) Population dynamics (general) (92D25)
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