Partition dependence and carryover biases in subjective probability assessment surveys for continuous variables: model-based estimation and correction

DOI10.1287/DECA.2015.0323MaRDI QIDQ4692012zbMATH OpenOpenAlexWikidataFDO

Authors Venkata R. Prava, Robert T. Clemen, Melissa A. Kenney, B. F. Hobbs

Publication date 24 October 2018

Published in Decision Analysis (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL https://semanticscholar.org/paper/bedb492602409e9c069a96baf33e5d8965867959

zbMATH Keywords

order effectanchoring biascognitive biasesexpert elicitationlogical carryover biaspartition dependence biasprevious response carryoversubjective probability assessments

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Decision theory (91B06)

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Cites work

• scientific article; zbMATH DE number 42417 (Why is no real title available?)
• A Bayesian Approach to the Linear Combination of Forecasts
• Eliciting and analyzing expert judgement. A practical guide
• Improving and Measuring the Effectiveness of Decision Analysis: Linking Decision Analysis and Behavioral Decision Research
• Using a Bayesian approach to quantify scale compatibility bias

Cited in

(2)

• Testing the effectiveness of debiasing techniques to reduce overprecision in the elicitation of subjective continuous probability distributions
• Biases in bias elicitation

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