Statistical Methods for Eliciting Probability Distributions
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Publication:5754848
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Cited in
(only showing first 100 items - show all)- Random quantiles of the Dirichlet process
- Double- and single-bisection methods for subjective probability assessment in a location-scale family
- Computation of marginal likelihoods with data-dependent support for latent variables
- Specification of informative prior distributions for multinomial models using vine copulas
- Bayesian methods for dealing with missing data problems
- Meta-analytic-predictive use of historical variance data for the design and analysis of clinical trials
- Calibration of imperfect models to biased observations
- Expert judgement for dependence in probabilistic modelling: a systematic literature review and future research directions
- Modeling uncertainty in multi-criteria decision analysis
- A Bayesian approach to aggregate experts' initial information
- Generalized isotonic conditional random fields
- Effects of prior distributions: an application to piped water demand
- Probabilistic sensitivity measures as information value
- Maximum entropy distributions with quantile information
- Calibrating expert assessments using hierarchical Gaussian process models
- Bayesian modelling of dependence between experts: some comparisons with Cooke's classical model
- Three-point lifetime distribution elicitation for maintenance optimization in a Bayesian context
- Characteristics of a process for subjective probability elicitation
- Structured expert judgement for decisions on medicines policy and management
- A Bayesian method for calibration and aggregation of expert judgement
- A Bayesian model for presence-only semicontinuous data, with application to~prediction of abundance of \textit{Taxus Baccata} in two Italian regions
- Fully probabilistic design of hierarchical Bayesian models
- Inferring probability densities from expert opinion
- Equations defining probability tree models
- Modeling uncertainty of expert elicitation for use in risk-based optimization
- Approximate large-scale Bayesian spatial modeling with application to quantitative magnetic resonance imaging
- Bayesian network modeling of the consensus between experts: an application to neuron classification
- Bayesian learning for a class of priors with prescribed marginals
- Expert elicitation for reliable system design. (With comments and rejoinder)
- Prediction markets, Bayesian priors, and clinical trials
- A frequentist framework of inductive reasoning
- A bivariate F distribution with marginals on arbitrary numerator and denominator degrees of freedom, and related bivariate beta and t distributions
- Combining expert opinions in prior elicitation
- The wisdom of the crowd and prediction markets
- State and parameter estimation of state-space model with entry-wise correlated uniform noise
- Automated preference elicitation for decision making
- Bayesian enrichment strategies for randomized discontinuation trials
- Constraints versus priors
- Eliciting expert judgements about a set of proportions
- Comparing normal random samples, with uncertainty about the priors and utilities
- Representation of analysis results involving aleatory and epistemic uncertainty
- Optimal Bayesian Design for Patient Selection in a Clinical Study
- Diagnostics of prior-data agreement in applied Bayesian analysis
- Uncertainty and sensitivity analysis for models of complex systems
- The general segmented distribution
- Determining the Effective Sample Size of a Parametric Prior
- A Bayesian approach to therapy selection in the treatment of refractory rheumatoid arthritis
- scientific article; zbMATH DE number 4024535 (Why is no real title available?)
- Eliciting Dirichlet and Connor-Mosimann prior distributions for multinomial models
- Statistical tests based on empirical processes and related questions
- scientific article; zbMATH DE number 1091391 (Why is no real title available?)
- Eliciting vague but proper maximal entropy priors in Bayesian experiments
- Functional ANOVA with multiple distributions: implications for the sensitivity analysis of computer experiments
- Partition dependence and carryover biases in subjective probability assessment surveys for continuous variables: model-based estimation and correction
- Johnson quantile-parameterized distributions
- scientific article; zbMATH DE number 4119459 (Why is no real title available?)
- scientific article; zbMATH DE number 1893731 (Why is no real title available?)
- scientific article; zbMATH DE number 795155 (Why is no real title available?)
- Eliciting prior distributions for extra parameters in some generalized linear models
- Measuring beliefs under ambiguity
- Debiasing inference with approximate covariance matrices and other unidentified biases
- Proposal for obtaining a priori distributions or the shape parameters of the beta distribution
- Expert knowledge elicitation using item response theory
- Quantifying conditional probability tables in Bayesian networks: Bayesian regression for scenario-based encoding of elicited expert assessments on feral pig habitat
- Recent advances in the elicitation of uncertainty distributions from experts for multinomial probabilities
- Biases in bias elicitation
- Subjective elicitation of hyperparameters of a conjugate Dirichlet prior and the corresponding Bayes analysis
- The Maxwell paired comparison model under Bayesian paradigm using informative priors
- Graphical prior elicitation in univariate models
- Prior distribution elicitation for generalized linear and piecewise-linear models
- Expert information and nonparametric Bayesian inference of rare events
- Eliciting Dirichlet and Gaussian copula prior distributions for multinomial models
- Calibrating the prior distribution for a normal model with conjugate prior
- The uncertainty recovery analysis for interdependent infrastructure systems using the dynamic inoperability input-output model
- THE GENERALIZED BIPARABOLIC DISTRIBUTION
- Aggregating expert judgement
- Uncertainty in prior elicitations: a nonparametric approach
- Uncertain Judgements: Eliciting Experts' Probabilities
- Objective Bayesian inference for the half-normal and half-t distributions
- Treatment Choice With Trial Data: Statistical Decision Theory Should Supplant Hypothesis Testing
- Methods for Eliciting Informative Prior Distributions: A Critical Review
- Prior Elicitation: Interactive Spreadsheet Graphics With Sliders Can Be Fun, and Informative
- Nonparametric elicitation for heavy-tailed prior distributions
- Maximin Optimal Designs for Cluster Randomized Trials
- Upper bound estimators of the population size based on ordinal models for capture‐recapture experiments
- The phoropter method: a stochastic graphical procedure for prior elicitation in univariate data models
- Bayesian restricted likelihood methods: conditioning on insufficient statistics in Bayesian regression (with discussion)
- A Synthesis of Information Imperfection Representations for Decision Aid
- Discussion of ``Network routing in a dynamic environment
- Eliciting informative priors by modeling expert decision making
- Minimal angle spread in the probability simplex with respect to the uniform distribution
- Multivariate dynamic regression: modeling and forecasting for intraday electricity load
- Optimal adaptive replacement in a renewal process
- An enhanced two-quantile Wilks methodology for engineering uncertainty analysis
- A review of Bayesian dynamic forecasting models: applications in marketing
- Robust Bayesian sensitivity analysis for case-control studies with uncertain exposure misclassification probabilities
- Using History Matching for Prior Choice
- A Markov chain approach for ranking treatments in network meta-analysis
- Adaptively stacking ensembles for influenza forecasting
- Assurance for Sample Size Determination in Reliability Demonstration Testing
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