The stability of steady-state hot-spot patterns for a reaction-diffusion model of urban crime

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Publication:478271

DOI10.3934/DCDSB.2014.19.1373zbMATH Open1304.35051arXiv1201.3090OpenAlexW2171547389MaRDI QIDQ478271FDOQ478271

Theodore Kolokolnikov, Michael J. Ward, Juncheng Wei

Publication date: 3 December 2014

Published in: Discrete and Continuous Dynamical Systems. Series B (Search for Journal in Brave)

Abstract: The existence and stability of localized patterns of criminal activity are studied for the reaction-diffusion model of urban crime that was introduced by Short et. al. [Math. Models. Meth. Appl. Sci., 18, Suppl. (2008), pp. 1249--1267]. Such patterns, characterized by the concentration of criminal activity in localized spatial regions, are referred to as hot-spot patterns and they occur in a parameter regime far from the Turing point associated with the bifurcation of spatially uniform solutions. Singular perturbation techniques are used to construct steady-state hot-spot patterns in one and two-dimensional spatial domains, and new types of nonlocal eigenvalue problems are derived that determine the stability of these hot-spot patterns to mathcalO(1) time-scale instabilities. From an analysis of these nonlocal eigenvalue problems, a critical threshold Kc is determined such that a pattern consisting of K hot-spots is unstable to a competition instability if K>Kc. This instability, due to a positive real eigenvalue, triggers the collapse of some of the hot-spots in the pattern. Furthermore, in contrast to the well-known stability results for spike patterns of the Gierer-Meinhardt reaction-diffusion model, it is shown for the crime model that there is only a relatively narrow parameter range where oscillatory instabilities in the hot-spot amplitudes occur. Such an instability, due to a Hopf bifurcation, is studied explicitly for a single hot-spot in the shadow system limit, for which the diffusivity of criminals is asymptotically large. Finally, the parameter regime where localized hot-spots occur is compared with the parameter regime, studied in previous works, where Turing instabilities from a spatially uniform steady-state occur.


Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/1201.3090





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