Exploring data assimilation and forecasting issues for an urban crime model

DOI10.1017/S0956792515000625MaRDI QIDQ4594595zbMATHOpenAlexFDO

Authors David J. B. Lloyd, Naratip Santitissadeekorn, Martin B. Short

Publication date 24 November 2017

Published in European Journal of Applied Mathematics (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL https://doi.org/10.1017/s0956792515000625

zbMATH Keywords

parameter estimationmaximum likelihooddata assimilationpoint processcrime hotspots

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Models of societies, social and urban evolution (91D10) Point processes (e.g., Poisson, Cox, Hawkes processes) (60G55) Inference from stochastic processes and prediction (62M20) Applications of statistics to social sciences (62P25)

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Cites work

• scientific article; zbMATH DE number 1219577 (Why is no real title available?)
• scientific article; zbMATH DE number 3239078 (Why is no real title available?)
• scientific article; zbMATH DE number 3282322 (Why is no real title available?)
• scientific article; zbMATH DE number 3338262 (Why is no real title available?)
• A STATISTICAL MODEL OF CRIMINAL BEHAVIOR
• Cops on the dots in a mathematical model of urban crime and police response
• Data Assimilation
• Existence of Symmetric and Asymmetric Spikes for a Crime Hotspot Model
• Geographic profiling from kinetic models of criminal behavior
• Nonlinear Patterns in Urban Crime: Hotspots, Bifurcations, and Suppression
• On localised hotspots of an urban crime model
• Self-exciting point process modeling of crime
• Self-organised critical hot spots of criminal activity
• The stability of steady-state hot-spot patterns for a reaction-diffusion model of urban crime
• Traveling wave solutions in a reaction-diffusion model for criminal activity

Cited in

(11)

• Generalised solution to a 2D parabolic-parabolic chemotaxis system for urban crime: global existence and large-time behaviour
• An age-structured population approach for the mathematical modeling of urban burglaries
• The existence and stability of spike solutions for a chemotaxis system modeling crime pattern formation
• Generalized solution and eventual smoothness in a logarithmic Keller–Segel system for criminal activities
• Relaxation by nonlinear diffusion enhancement in a two-dimensional cross-diffusion model for urban crime propagation
• Sequential data assimilation for 1D self-exciting processes with application to urban crime data
• Modelling and prevention of crime using age-structure and law enforcement
• Approximate filtering of conditional intensity process for Poisson count data: application to urban crime
• Understanding the effects of on- and off-hotspot policing: evidence of hotspot, oscillating, and chaotic activities
• Global well-posedness and uniform boundedness of urban crime models: one-dimensional case
• Global existence in a two-dimensional nonlinear diffusion model for urban crime propagation

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