Bayesian modeling of bacterial growth for multiple populations

DOI10.1214/14-AOAS720zbMATH Open1304.62137arXiv1411.5780MaRDI QIDQ484012FDOQ484012

Authors: A. Paula Palacios, J. M. Marín, Emiliano J. Quinto, Michael P. Wiper 

Publication date: 17 December 2014

Published in: The Annals of Applied Statistics (Search for Journal in Brave)

Abstract: Bacterial growth models are commonly used for the prediction of microbial safety and the shelf life of perishable foods. Growth is affected by several environmental factors such as temperature, acidity level and salt concentration. In this study, we develop two models to describe bacterial growth for multiple populations under both equal and different environmental conditions. First, a semi-parametric model based on the Gompertz equation is proposed. Assuming that the parameters of the Gompertz equation may vary in relation to the running conditions under which the experiment is performed, we use feedforward neural networks to model the influence of these environmental factors on the growth parameters. Second, we propose a more general model which does not assume any underlying parametric form for the growth function. Thus, we consider a neural network as a primary growth model which includes the influencing environmental factors as inputs to the network. One of the main disadvantages of neural networks models is that they are often very difficult to tune, which complicates fitting procedures. Here, we show that a simple Bayesian approach to fitting these models can be implemented via the software package WinBugs. Our approach is illustrated using real experimental Listeria monocytogenes growth data.

Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/1411.5780

Recommendations

• scientific article; zbMATH DE number 772404
• Generalized logistic model of bacterial growth
• Mathematical modelling of the growth of microorganisms in food
• Assessing the prediction ability of different mathematical models for the growth of \textit{Lactobacillus plantarum} under non-isothermal conditions
• Improvement of random coefficient differential models of growth of anaerobic photosynthetic bacteria by combining Bayesian inference and gPC

zbMATH Keywords

Bayesian inferencegrowth functionsneural networksbacterial population modeling

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Bayesian inference (62F15) Applications of statistics to biology and medical sciences; meta analysis (62P10) Population dynamics (general) (92D25)

Cites Work

• Bayesian Measures of Model Complexity and Fit
• Title not available (Why is that?)
• Model choice: a minimum posterior predictive loss approach
• Practical Bayesian Density Estimation Using Mixtures of Normals
• Deviance information criteria for missing data models
• Title not available (Why is that?)
• Bayesian Analysis of Growth Curves Using Mixed Models Defined by Stochastic Differential Equations
• Equations of states in singular statistical estimation
• Feedforward Neural Network Methodology
• Bayesian learning for neural networks
• A Bayesian method for classification and discrimination
• Probable networks and plausible predictions — a review of practical Bayesian methods for supervised neural networks
• Reparameterisation issues in mixture modelling and their bearing on MCMC algorithms.
• Robust full Bayesian learning for radial basis networks
• Neural Networks in Applied Statistics
• Bayesian Nonparametrics via Neural Networks
• Bayesian modeling of bacterial growth for multiple populations

Cited In (4)

• Bayesian Parameter Identification in Cahn--Hilliard Models for Biological Growth
• Bayesian model selection framework for identifying growth patterns in filamentous fungi
• Title not available (Why is that?)
• Bayesian modeling of bacterial growth for multiple populations

Uses Software

• WinBUGS

This page was built for publication: Bayesian modeling of bacterial growth for multiple populations

Report a bug (only for logged in users!)Click here to report a bug for this page (MaRDI item Q484012)