Bayesian modeling of bacterial growth for multiple populations
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Publication:484012
DOI10.1214/14-AOAS720zbMATH Open1304.62137MaRDI QIDQ484012FDOQ484012
Authors: A. Paula Palacios, J. M. Marín, Emiliano J. Quinto, Michael P. Wiper 
Publication date: 17 December 2014
Published in: The Annals of Applied Statistics (Search for Journal in Brave)
Abstract: Bacterial growth models are commonly used for the prediction of microbial safety and the shelf life of perishable foods. Growth is affected by several environmental factors such as temperature, acidity level and salt concentration. In this study, we develop two models to describe bacterial growth for multiple populations under both equal and different environmental conditions. First, a semi-parametric model based on the Gompertz equation is proposed. Assuming that the parameters of the Gompertz equation may vary in relation to the running conditions under which the experiment is performed, we use feedforward neural networks to model the influence of these environmental factors on the growth parameters. Second, we propose a more general model which does not assume any underlying parametric form for the growth function. Thus, we consider a neural network as a primary growth model which includes the influencing environmental factors as inputs to the network. One of the main disadvantages of neural networks models is that they are often very difficult to tune, which complicates fitting procedures. Here, we show that a simple Bayesian approach to fitting these models can be implemented via the software package WinBugs. Our approach is illustrated using real experimental Listeria monocytogenes growth data.
Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/1411.5780
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Bayesian inference (62F15) Applications of statistics to biology and medical sciences; meta analysis (62P10) Population dynamics (general) (92D25)
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Cited In (5)
- Bayesian Parameter Identification in Cahn--Hilliard Models for Biological Growth
- Modeling of sensory characteristics based on the growth of food spoilage bacteria
- Bayesian model selection framework for identifying growth patterns in filamentous fungi
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- Bayesian modeling of bacterial growth for multiple populations
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