Automatic estimation of flux distributions of astrophysical source populations

DOI10.1214/14-AOAS750MaRDI QIDQ484039zbMATH OpenOpenAlexFDO

Authors Raymond Wong, Paul Baines, Thomas C. M. Lee, Alexander Aue, Vinay L. Kashyap

Publication date 17 December 2014

Published in The Annals of Applied Statistics (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL https://arxiv.org/abs/1305.0979, https://projecteuclid.org/euclid.aoas/1414091230

zbMATH Keywords

Pareto distribution\(\log N - \log S\)broken power lawCDFN X-ray surveyinterwoven EM algorithmlikelihood computations

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Point estimation (62F10) Asymptotic properties of parametric estimators (62F12) Applications of statistics to physics (62P35) Hydrodynamic and hydromagnetic problems in astronomy and astrophysics (85A30)

Abstract: In astrophysics a common goal is to infer the flux distribution of populations of scientifically interesting objects such as pulsars or supernovae. In practice, inference for the flux distribution is often conducted using the cumulative distribution of the number of sources detected at a given sensitivity. The resulting "$log(N>S)$-$log(S)$" relationship can be used to compare and evaluate theoretical models for source populations and their evolution. Under restrictive assumptions the relationship should be linear. In practice, however, when simple theoretical models fail, it is common for astrophysicists to use prespecified piecewise linear models. This paper proposes a methodology for estimating both the number and locations of "breakpoints" in astrophysical source populations that extends beyond existing work in this field. An important component of the proposed methodology is a new interwoven EM algorithm that computes parameter estimates. It is shown that in simple settings such estimates are asymptotically consistent despite the complex nature of the parameter space. Through simulation studies it is demonstrated that the proposed methodology is capable of accurately detecting structural breaks in a variety of parameter configurations. This paper concludes with an application of our methodology to the Chandra Deep Field North (CDFN) data set.

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Cites work

• scientific article; zbMATH DE number 3567782 (Why is no real title available?)
• Automatic estimation of flux distributions of astrophysical source populations
• Consistency of the Maximum Likelihood Estimator in the Presence of Infinitely Many Incidental Parameters
• Estimating the number of change-points via Schwarz' criterion
• Marginal Likelihood Estimation via Power Posteriors
• Note on the Consistency of the Maximum Likelihood Estimate
• On image segmentation using information theoretic criteria

Cited in

(5)

• Nonparametric Estimation of Galaxy Cluster Emissivity and Detection of Point Sources in Astrophysics With Two Lasso Penalties
• New distance measures for classifying X-ray astronomy data into stellar classes
• Detecting abrupt changes in the spectra of high-energy astrophysical sources
• Automatic estimation of flux distributions of astrophysical source populations
• Discovering and locating high-energy extra-galactic sources by Bayesian mixture modelling

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