Link between statistical equilibrium fidelity and forecasting skill for complex systems with model error
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Publication:4907477
DOI10.1073/PNAS.1108132108zbMATH Open1256.86003OpenAlexW1992616776WikidataQ33964817 ScholiaQ33964817MaRDI QIDQ4907477FDOQ4907477
Authors: Andrew J. Majda, B. Gershgorin
Publication date: 2 February 2013
Published in: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (Search for Journal in Brave)
Full work available at URL: https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1108132108
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Cites Work
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- Filtering a statistically exactly solvable test model for turbulent tracers from partial observations
- A test model for fluctuation-dissipation theorems with time-periodic statistics
- Short-time linear response with reduced-rank tangent map
- Improving model fidelity and sensitivity for complex systems through empirical information theory
Cited In (16)
- Noisy Lagrangian tracers for filtering random rotating compressible flows
- A causation-based computationally efficient strategy for deploying Lagrangian drifters to improve real-time state estimation
- An information-theoretic framework for improving imperfect dynamical predictions via multi-model ensemble forecasts
- Challenges in climate science and contemporary applied mathematics
- Strategies for Reduced-Order Models for Predicting the Statistical Responses and Uncertainty Quantification in Complex Turbulent Dynamical Systems
- Linear and nonlinear statistical response theories with prototype applications to sensitivity analysis and statistical control of complex turbulent dynamical systems
- Lagrangian Uncertainty Quantification and Information Inequalities for Stochastic Flows
- Launching Drifter Observations in the Presence of Uncertainty
- Non-Gaussian test models for prediction and state estimation with model errors
- Improving prediction skill of imperfect turbulent models through statistical response and information theory
- A statistically accurate modified quasilinear Gaussian closure for uncertainty quantification in turbulent dynamical systems
- High skill in low-frequency climate response through fluctuation dissipation theorems despite structural instability
- Improving the prediction of complex nonlinear turbulent dynamical systems using nonlinear filter, smoother and backward sampling techniques
- Efficient statistically accurate algorithms for the Fokker-Planck equation in large dimensions
- Low-dimensional reduced-order models for statistical response and uncertainty quantification: barotropic turbulence with topography
- A parameter estimation method using linear response statistics
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