Link between statistical equilibrium fidelity and forecasting skill for complex systems with model error
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Publication:4907477
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Cites work
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- High skill in low-frequency climate response through fluctuation dissipation theorems despite structural instability
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- Information Theory and Statistical Mechanics
- Linear response theory for statistical ensembles in complex systems with time-periodic forcing
- New approximations and tests of linear fluctuation-response for chaotic nonlinear forced-dissipative dynamical systems
- On Information and Sufficiency
- Short-time linear response with reduced-rank tangent map
Cited in
(19)- Low-dimensional reduced-order models for statistical response and uncertainty quantification: barotropic turbulence with topography
- Efficient statistically accurate algorithms for the Fokker-Planck equation in large dimensions
- Challenges in climate science and contemporary applied mathematics
- Launching Drifter Observations in the Presence of Uncertainty
- An information-theoretic framework for improving imperfect dynamical predictions via multi-model ensemble forecasts
- Quantifying uncertainty for predictions with model error in non-Gaussian systems with intermittency
- Non-Gaussian test models for prediction and state estimation with model errors
- A parameter estimation method using linear response statistics
- Improving the prediction of complex nonlinear turbulent dynamical systems using nonlinear filter, smoother and backward sampling techniques
- Noisy Lagrangian tracers for filtering random rotating compressible flows
- A causation-based computationally efficient strategy for deploying Lagrangian drifters to improve real-time state estimation
- Improving model fidelity and sensitivity for complex systems through empirical information theory
- Strategies for reduced-order models for predicting the statistical responses and uncertainty quantification in complex turbulent dynamical systems
- Improving prediction skill of imperfect turbulent models through statistical response and information theory
- A statistically accurate modified quasilinear Gaussian closure for uncertainty quantification in turbulent dynamical systems
- High skill in low-frequency climate response through fluctuation dissipation theorems despite structural instability
- Information theory, model error, and predictive skill of stochastic models for complex nonlinear systems
- Linear and nonlinear statistical response theories with prototype applications to sensitivity analysis and statistical control of complex turbulent dynamical systems
- Lagrangian uncertainty quantification and information inequalities for stochastic flows
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