scientific article; zbMATH DE number 1424097

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Publication:4945290





The author examines in the context of manuscripts of Leibniz with probabilistic content the philosophical issues of ``occasion ``contingence, ``réduction du hasard à une apparence, ``calcul de l'optimum and ``rabat. Section II, on the equitable division of stakes (le problème des partis) takes the view that Leibniz addressed such probabilistic problems from the standpoint of rational jurisprudence, confirmed in part by his use of odds rather than probabilities. The author does not allude to Fermat, also a lawyer. Section III shows links with the theory of games. Section IV considers contingency (le contingent) not in the usual statistical but in a philosophical sense. For the entire collection see [Zbl 0930.00034].











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