Performance analysis of second order semi-Markov chains: an application to wind energy production

DOI10.1007/S11009-013-9394-ZMaRDI QIDQ496971zbMATH OpenOpenAlexFDO

Authors Guglielmo D'Amico, Filippo Petroni, Flavio Prattico

Publication date 23 September 2015

Published in Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL https://arxiv.org/abs/1207.2277

zbMATH Keywords

reward processsemi-Markov chainswind energy production

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Applications of statistics to economics (62P20) Applications of statistics in engineering and industry; control charts (62P30) Applications of renewal theory (reliability, demand theory, etc.) (60K10) Markov renewal processes, semi-Markov processes (60K15)

Abstract: In this paper a general second order semi-Markov reward model is presented. Equations for the higher order moments of the reward process are presented for the first time and applied to wind energy production. The application is executed by considering a database, freely available from the web, that includes wind speed data taken from L.S.I. - Lastem station (Italy) and sampled every 10 minutes. We compute the expectation and the variance of the total energy produced by using the commercial blade Aircon HAWT - 10 kW.

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Cited in

(9)

• Conditional failure occurrence rates for semi-Markov chains
• Analyzing wind turbine and wind farm outputs under dependence between wind speed and wind turbine availability
• On the derivative counting processes of first- and second-order aggregated semi-Markov systems
• Reliability and survival analysis for drifting Markov models: modeling and estimation
• Optimal control of a dispatchable energy source for wind energy management
• scientific article; zbMATH DE number 5870350 (Why is no real title available?)
• Single-use reliability computation of a semi-Markovian system.
• Performance analysis of second order semi-Markov chains: an application to wind energy production
• Reward algorithms for semi-Markov processes

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