On the survival probability for a class of subcritical branching processes in random environment

DOI10.3150/15-BEJ723zbMATH Open1362.60074arXiv1307.3963MaRDI QIDQ502856FDOQ502856

Authors: Vincent Bansaye, Vladimir Vatutin 

Publication date: 11 January 2017

Published in: Bernoulli (Search for Journal in Brave)

Abstract: Let $Z_n$ be the number of individuals in a subcritical BPRE evolving in the environment generated by iid probability distributions. Let $X$ be the logarithm of the expected offspring size per individual given the environment. Assuming that the density of $X$ has the form ${\displaystyle }$p_{X}(x)=x^{-�eta -1}l_{0}(x)e^{- ho x}${\displaystyle }$ for some $$ a slowly varying function $l_0(x)$ and $hoinleft(0,1ight),$ we find the asymptotic survival probability and prove a Yaglom type conditional limit theorem for the process. The survival probability decreases exponentially with an additional polynomial term related to the tail of $X$. The proof relies on a fine study of a random walk (with negative drift and heavy tails) conditioned to stay positive until time $n$ and to have a small positive value at time $n$, with $n$ tending to infinity.

Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/1307.3963

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zbMATH Keywords

heavy tailsrandom environmentrandom walksbranching processesspeed of extinction

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Sums of independent random variables; random walks (60G50) Branching processes (Galton-Watson, birth-and-death, etc.) (60J80) Processes in random environments (60K37)

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