On the survival probability for a class of subcritical branching processes in random environment

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Abstract: Let Zn be the number of individuals in a subcritical BPRE evolving in the environment generated by iid probability distributions. Let X be the logarithm of the expected offspring size per individual given the environment. Assuming that the density of X has the form p_{X}(x)=x^{-�eta -1}l_{0}(x)e^{- ho x} for some a slowly varying function l0(x) and hoinleft(0,1ight), we find the asymptotic survival probability and prove a Yaglom type conditional limit theorem for the process. The survival probability decreases exponentially with an additional polynomial term related to the tail of X. The proof relies on a fine study of a random walk (with negative drift and heavy tails) conditioned to stay positive until time n and to have a small positive value at time n, with n tending to infinity.









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